'Severance,' 'The Diplomat,' and 'The Pitt' tie with four nominations at the Critics Choice Awards

I return to awards show coverage with the nominees for drama series at the Critics Choice Awards.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
Alien: Earth (FX)
Andor (Disney+)
The Diplomat (Netflix)
Paradise (Hulu)
The Pitt (HBO Max)
Pluribus (Apple TV)
Severance (Apple TV)
Task (HBO Max)

As I wrote in the subject line, Severance, The Diplomat, and The Pitt tie with four nominations. Task has three, followed by Andor, Paradise, and Pluribus with two each, and Alien: Earth with only the program nomination. Based on The Pitt beating Severance for Outstanding Drama Series at the Emmy Awards, The Pitt should be favored, and that's exactly what the Gold Derby odds show. Every editor and expert along with 84.7% of users expect The Pitt to win this category. That's followed by Pluribus with the support of 7.7% of users, Severance with 4.2% of users, Andor with 1.9% of users, and the rest with less than 0.4% support each.

BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown – Paradise (Hulu)
Diego Luna – Andor (Disney+)
Mark Ruffalo – Task (HBO Max)
Adam Scott – Severance (Apple TV)
Billy Bob Thornton – Landman (Paramount+)
Noah Wyle – The Pitt (HBO Max)

Noah Wyle won Outstanding Actor in a Drama Series at the Emmy Awards and Gold Derby thinks he'll repeat here, again with every editor and expert along with 92.4% of users predicting he'll walk off the stage with the trophy. Adam Scott sits in second with the support of 3.7% of users, followed by Diego Luna with 1.8% of users, and the rest of the field with less than one percent each.

BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Kathy Bates – Matlock (CBS)
Carrie Coon – The Gilded Age (HBO Max)
Britt Lower – Severance (Apple TV)
Bella Ramsey – The Last of Us (HBO Max)
Keri Russell – The Diplomat (Netflix)
Rhea Seehorn – Pluribus (Apple TV)

While Britt Lower won the Emmy for Outstanding Actress in a Drama Series, she's an underdog here, as Rhea Seehorn leads with every editor, 75% of experts, and 74.4% of users picking the lead actress of Pluribus to win. Lower is the choice of 17.4% of users, followed by Kathy Bates with 5.4%, Keri Russell with 1.2%, and Bella Ramsey with 1.0%. None have any professional support. That's reserved for Carrie Coon with 25% of the experts but only only 0.6% of users. I think that percentage will drop once the rest of the experts weigh in. Also, Seehorn is that good in Pluribus. I expect she'll be nominated at the Saturn Awards and I'll vote for her if she is.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Patrick Ball – The Pitt (HBO Max)
Billy Crudup – The Morning Show (Apple TV)
Ato Essandoh – The Diplomat (Netflix)
Wood Harris – Forever (Netflix)
Tom Pelphrey – Task (HBO Max)
Tramell Tillman – Severance (Apple TV)

Gold Derby's odds predict that the supporting categories will return to Emmy form with Emmy winner Tramell Tillman leading as the choice of 75.0% of experts, 80.0% of editors, and 90.4% of users. He's followed by Billy Crudup as the pick of the rest of the experts and 3.5% of users, Tom Pelphrey with the rest of the editors and 3.3% of users, Patrick Ball with 2.1% of users, and the rest with less than one percent user support.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Nicole Beharie – The Morning Show (Apple TV)
Denée Benton – The Gilded Age (HBO Max)
Allison Janney – The Diplomat (Netflix)
Katherine LaNasa – The Pitt (HBO Max)
Greta Lee – The Morning Show (Apple TV)
Skye P. Marshall – Matlock (CBS)

Emmy winner Katherine LaNasa leads this category as the pick of 75.0% of experts, 80.0% of editors, and 91.4% of users. She's followed by Skye P. Marshall with the rest of the editors and 2.1% of users, Nicole Beharie also at 2.1% of users, Allison Janney at 1.8%, Denée Benton with the remaining expert (the same one who currently has Carrie Coon in first — she must be a Gilded Age fan) and 1.4% of users, and Greta Lee at 1.2% of users. LaNasa should enjoy her win here because she's not even nominated at the Golden Globes. Instead, three actresses from The White Lotus made the field, while The White Lotus was shut out here. As I keep writing about awards shows, electorates matter.

For what it's worth, The Morning Show didn't earn a program nomination, but it's tied with Task at three nominations, all for supporting roles. Matlock earned two nominations for its actresses, while Forever, Landman and The Last of Us earned one acting nomination each.

That's a wrap for today's installment. Stay tuned for comedy TV nominees tomorrow.