Wednesday, September 24, 2025

'The Pitt' edges 'Severance' for Outstanding Drama Series at the Emmy Awards


After being delayed by Jimmy Kimmel's suspension — good news, he returned last night as announced — I'm examining the drama series winners. Time to compare the predictions in 'Severance' already won six Emmy Awards and could win up to five more to reality.
The prognosticators at Gold Derby have split on the likely winner, but agree that it's a two-show race between Severance and The Pitt with 60.0% of the editors, 41.7% of the experts, and 64.0% of the users selecting Severance, while half the experts, 40.0% of the editors, and 32.4% of the users think The Pitt will win. The remaining expert (8.3%) and 1.6% of users picked The Last of Us to place third in the odds. The White Lotus has the support of 1.1% of users, followed by Andor with 0.5%, Slow Horses with 0.4%, and both Paradise and The Diplomat with none.

The science fiction fan in me wants Severance, but my wife and I watched the first three episodes and haven't returned, while we watched every episode of The Pitt. I'm sure we're not alone. Gold Derby summed up the choice in Emmys Face-Off: Do voters follow their heart to The Pitt or their head to Severance?
The Emmy voters followed their hearts. Watch The Pitt win Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

The Pitt accepts the Emmy for Drama Series at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Congratulations to the cast, crew, and producers of The Pitt on a well-deserved win!
Kathy Bates, the only nomination for Matlock, leads with 83.3% of experts, 80.0% of editors, and 71.6% of users expecting her to win. Britt Lower sits in second with 20.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, and 23.9% of users picking here. Bella Ramsey also has 8.3% of experts voting for her, but only 3.3% of users. Keri Russell has the support of 1.1% of users, while Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters' sole nominee, only has 0.1%. Lower will only win in a Severance sweep, which the Gold Derby experts doubt will happen.
I was wrong about Lower only winning in a Severance sweep, although Gold Derby was right about that sweep not happening and this being a two-actress contest. Watch Lower win Lead Actress In A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Britt Lower accepts the Emmy for Lead Actress In A Drama Series for Severance at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Yes, Queen! Not only were the nominees electrifying, so were you. That's how to introduce a category! Congratulations to Lower, who defied Gold Derby's expectations and mine by winning and writing "Let Me Out" on the back of her acceptance speech. Nice Easter egg!
Every editor, 92.3% of experts, and 82.0% of users want Noah Wylie, while 7.7% of experts and 15.2% of users selected Adam Scott. Pedro Pascal is a distant third with 2.3% of users, followed by Sterling K. Brown and Gary Oldman tied at 0.3%. I'm picking Wylie.
I got my wish. Watch Wyle win Lead Actor In A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Noah Wyle accepts the Emmy for Lead Actor In A Drama Series for The Pitt at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I'm embarassed to write that I've been a fan of Wyle's since I watched him in both Falling Skies and The Librarians a decade ago and I'm still misspelling his name. Oops. Both of those roles inspired me to think of him as an educated man of action, a characterization that his role in E.R. cemented. He is still that in The Pitt and it paid off with his first acting Emmy. Congratulations!
Carrie Coon currently leads as the choice of 60.0% of editors, 58.3% of experts, and 70.4% of users, but Gold Derby thinks she has competition, as 33.3% of experts, 30.0% of editors, and 13.4% of users chose Katherine LaNasa and 10.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, and 12.8% picked Parker Posey — a three-way race! A sweep by Severance seems unlikely, as only 1.9% of users made an argument for Patricia Arquette. The users give the rest of the nominees less than a 1.0% chance with Aimee Lou Wood at 0.8%, Natasha Rothwell at 0.4%, and Julianne Nicholson, who has already won an Emmy for Hacks, at 0.3%. I enjoyed Parker Posey the most, but Carrie Coon displayed more range.
I suspect vote-splitting between The White Lotus nominees allowed Gold Derby's second choice to win, which takes nothing away from her performance. Watch LaNasa win Supporting Actress In A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Katherine LaNasa accepts the Emmy for Supporting Actress In A Drama Series for The Pitt at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Wednesday and Morticia! It was worth watching this clip for this pairing alone. As for LaNasa, she reminds me of my ex-wife the nurse in a good way. I don't know if I've ever written that before. In this case, it works for making her role more authentic.
Gold Derby's odds-makers see a two-way contest for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series, with Tramell Tillman taking 70.0% of editors, 50.0% of experts, and 53.1% of users while Walton Goggins is walking away with 50.0% of experts, 30.0% of editors, and 43.6% of users. That's quite a split! The rest of the field consists of Sam Rockwell with 1.2%, John Turturro and James Marsden tied at 0.7%, Jason Isaacs with 0.6%, and Zach Cherry at 0.1%. My wife and I watched all of The White Lotus, and we found Goggins compelling.
It was close, but Gold Derby's first choice won. Watch Tramell Tillman win Supporting Actor In A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Tramell Tillman accepts the Emmy for Supporting Actor In A Drama Series for Severance at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I think I'd rather watch J.B. Smoove host the Emmys than Neal Bargatze. I'm also glad Tillman won; he gave a great acceptance speech. Not only did he win an Emmy on his first nomination, a personal first, he achieved a historic first.
For his chilling performance as the hypnotic and unnervingly cheerful Seth Milchick in Apple TV+’s genre-defying drama “Severance,” Tramell Tillman won the Emmy for outstanding supporting actor in a drama series, becoming the first Black man ever to win in the category. It was the only acting field that had yet to honor a Black performer in the Emmys’ 77-year history.
Congratulations!
The experts at Gold Derby worried that two nominated episodes for both Severance and The Pitt would split the vote. It's certainly splitting theirs, as 75.0% of experts, 70.0% of editors, and 81.3% of users voted for the "Cold Harbor" episode of Severance while 10.0% of editors and 2.5% of users chose "Chikhai Bardo." Between the two entries, 80.0% of editors, 75.0% of experts, and 83.8% of users are supporing Severance. The Pitt suffers less from vote splitting, with 25.0% of experts, 20.0% of editors, and 12.3% of users picking "6:00 P.M." but only 0.8% of users selecting "7:00 A.M." The White Lotus is fourth among nominees but third among series with 1.4% of users, followed by Andor with 1.1% and Slow Horses with 0.4%.
It looks like vote splitting assisting insider opinion allowed Gold Derby's last choice to win. Watch Adam Randall of Slow Horses surprise in Directing For A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Adam Randall accepts the Emmy for Directing For A Drama Series for Slow Horses at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I've been curious about Slow Horses ever since I watched the trailer for its first season, which used "Six Underground" for its background music. This win might be enough to get my wife and me to watch it. Fortuitously, season five premieres tonight.

Speaking of getting my wife and me to watch something...
Severance leads Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series, which Gold Derby thinks is a three-way contest, supported by 90.0% of editors, 66.7% of experts, and 81.9% of users. The Pitt sits in second as the pick of 25.0% of experts and 10.9% of users, while this category may be Andor's best chance at an Emmy, as 10.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, which might be the same person given the overlap between the two groups, and 2.9% of users anticipate its upsetting the two leaders. The rest of the field all have at least 1% support, with The White Lotus with 1.7%, a second episode of The Pitt at 1.6%, and Slow Horses at 1.0%. Vote splitting doesn't seem to be hurting The Pitt much.
Not only was this Andor's best opportunity to win, it won. Watch Writing For A Drama Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Dan Gilroy accepts the Emmy for Writing For A Drama Series for Andor at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I'm recycling what I wrote about Andor two years ago.
My wife and I couldn't get past the second episode of "Andor." It was too slow a burn for us and not escapist enough. On the other hand, the critics and entertainment professionals love it... Watching Hasan, Tracy Brown, and Wajahat Ali dissect "Andor" and relate it to real-life struggles against occupation and oppression make me interested in resuming the series. I've heard that the show gets more interesting after the second episode and looking at it as a serious political allegory would probably increase my appreciation for it.
My wife and I have been watching the reception for Andor, and are now wondering if we should start watching it again. On the one hand, this win could persuade us. On the other, Disney's treatment of Kimmel convinced us to consider canceling our Disney+ subscription. If we are still upset next month, we will stop paying, Kimmel's return last night not withstanding, which means we won't watch any Disney+ or Hulu content, including Andor. Just the same, congratulations to Gilroy on his win.

That's a wrap for today's post. I plan on taking a break from the Emmys tomorrow and Friday. I expect to return to entertainment Saturday and Sunday, but at least one of those days will be devoted to the Environmental Media Association Awards nominees. Stay tuned.

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