Sunday, October 6, 2013 article on Walberg's bad poll results

In a poll released today, residents of Walberg's district said they'd vote for a Democratic challenger 51% to 42% over Walberg.
Credit: U.S. Congress (Wikipedia/Public Domain)
Walberg losing to generic Democrat by nine percent: poll
This morning, released the results of a poll it commissioned, one that contains bad news for U.S. Representative Tim Walberg, who represents rural northern, western, and southern Washtenaw County in the U.S. House of Representatives as part of the Seventh District.  The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling, showed that Walberg would lose an election held today to a generic Democratic challenger by nine percentage points, 51% to 42%, after poll respondents were told he supported the federal government shutdown.

Walberg was not alone in receiving unfavorable news.  Public Policy Polling surveyed twenty-four Congressional districts represented by Republicans in states won by Barack Obama last year.  Those surveyed indicated that they would vote against the incumbent in seventeen districts, including all three in Michigan, without being prompted about the shutdown.  The number increased to twenty-one after being told of their Representative's support for the shutdown.  It would take the loss of only seventeen seats to flip control of the U.S. House of Representatives from Republican to Democratic in 2014.

"Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results make clear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach," pollster Jim Williams told National Journal. "The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats."
Much more at the link, including explanations of the responses to poll questions and quotes from Pam Byrne's campaign and Tim Walberg's office.  There's also a video from Huffington Post, "These Republicans Really Hope You'll Forget The Shutdown Is Their Fault."

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