Monday, June 10, 2024

NOAA issues 'Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast On Record' for 2024

Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1st, so it's past time to review the predictions for it. I begin with The Weather Channel reporting NOAA Released Its Most Aggressive Hurricane Season Forecast On Record two weeks ago.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its outlook for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season today (May 23, 2024), and it's the most aggressive forecast on record. Our hurricane expert Dr. Rick Knabb breaks it down.
If NOAA, The Weather Company, and Colorado State University (CSU) are correct, then this season will exhaust the primary list of names, which has only happened three times before, 2005, 2020, and 2021. It almost happened last year, when there were 19 named storms, leaving one of my names and my ex-girlfriend's name unused. That means that our names will stay together until 2029, more than 20 years after we broke up. As I wrote in 2022, ironic.

Here are this year's Atlantic storm names. Fortunately, most of them have no special significance to me.


Now the overflow list of storm names.


If the forecast is correct, we're likely to see some from the first column before the year is over.

AccuWeather took a deeper look at the some of the factors contributing to the forecast in Supercharged Atlantic Hurricane Season Poised for Intense Activity.

AccuWeather hurricane experts are concerned that storms could rapidly intensify during the 2024 hurricane season due to high ocean temperatures, low wind shear, and abundant moisture. Hurricane season starts this Saturday, June 1.
Yikes!

PBS Terra uploaded its own short video explaining the science behind the forecast, 2024 Is Going to Be a Bad Year for Hurricanes…But Why?.


I'm going to reuse what I wrote two years ago, itself partially recycled from August 2021.
First, welcome to the 400 ppm world. Second, are you scared enough by climate change? My readers should be.
That reminds me; I should write about the greenhouse gas levels recorded this spring. Stay tuned.

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