I closed 'Music by John Williams' wins GRAMMY for Best Music Film, earning Steven Spielberg an EGOT by telling my readers "Stay tuned for more awards show coverage as I blog about the GRAMMYs won by Sinners, KPop Demon Hunters, Wicked, and Tron: Ares..." I begin by revisiting the relevant predictions from 'Sinners,' 'KPop Demon Hunters,' and 'Wicked' — movie musicals at the GRAMMYs.
Based on the number of nominations, especially for Song of the Year, "Golden" is my pick to win Best Song Written For Visual Media. It's also Gold Derby's, where every expert, 83.3% of editors, and 86.7% of users have picked it to win...The other songs with support are "Never Too Late" from Elton John: Never Too Late with 16.7% of editors and 5.4% of users picking it, "I Lied to You" from Sinners with 6.1% of users choosing it, and "As Alive As You Need Me To Be" from TRON: Ares with the remaining 0.8% of users supporting it...Sorry, "Pale, Pale Moon" and "Sinners"; Gold Derby doesn't give either of you a chance...That was in November. The standings changed some by February 1st, but the lead never changed. All of the editors joined all of the experts along with 93.5% of users to consolidate behind "Golden." "I Lied to You" retained 4.6% of users to pass "Never Too Late," which lost the editors choosing it in November and kept only 1.4% of users. "As Alive As You Need Me To Be" settled into a tie for last with "Pale, Pale Moon" and "Sinners" with 0.1% of users each. Therefore, it should be no surprise that GOLDEN [FROM "KPOP DEMON HUNTERS"] Wins SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA | 2026 GRAMMYs.
EJAE, PARK HONG JUN, JOONG GYU KWAK, YU HAN LEE, HEE DONG NAM, JEONG HOON SEO & MARK SONNENBLICK deliver an acceptance speech after winning the GRAMMY for SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA for GOLDEN [FROM "KPOP DEMON HUNTERS"] at the 2026 GRAMMYs."Golden" is the first KPop song to win a GRAMMY — congratulations!
As the preview image for this entry shows, Sinners won two awards, so here are its relevant predictions.
Gold Derby thinks Best Compilation Soundtrack For Visual Media is Wicked's best category with half the editors and 70.5% of users selecting it. KPop Demon Hunters is its closest competition with ever expert so far, one-third of the editors, and 17.6% of users choosing it. Despite having more songs nominated than either Wicked or KPop Demon Hunters, Gold Derby has Sinners in third with the support of the remaining one-sixth of editors and 9.4% of users. The rest of the users are split between A Complete Unknown with 1.7% and F1: The Movie, which I expect to see nominated for Best Action Film at the Saturn Awards, with 0.8%. Wow, a Bob Dylan biopic down that low!The percentages changed a lot by February, but the relative standings barely budged. Wicked led the predictions with half the experts, 16.7% of editors, and 49.8% of users sticking with it. KPop Demon Hunters lost the experts but gained both editors to two-thirds and users to 37.2%. Sinners stayed in third with the support of the other half of the experts, the remaining one-sixth of editors and 11.6% of users. F1: The Movie retained its 0.8% of users, while A Complete Unknown fell to last with 0.7%. To the surprise of everyone but the half of experts, one-sixth of editors, and 11.6% of users, Sinners won. Watch as SINNERS Wins BEST COMPILATION SOUNDTRACK | 2026 GRAMMYs Acceptance Speech.
Producers deliver an acceptance speech after winning the GRAMMY for BEST COMPILATION SOUNDTRACK for SINNERS at the 2026 GRAMMYs.I guess having more nominated songs than the other movie soundtracks paid off. Congratulations on an upset win!
Gold Derby thinks Sinners has a better chance of winning here than for Best Compilation Soundtrack For Visual Media with every editor and expert plus 76.5% of users supporting it. Wicked sits in second with 19.7% of users, followed by 2.0% picking The Wild Robot, 1.2% choosing Severance, and 0.7% hanging on to How to Train Your Dragon.Sinners retained every editor and expert and added users to reach 90.8% support by the time of the ceremony. That's quite a consolidation! Wicked stayed in second with 7.4% of users, while How to Train Your Dragon rose to third with only 0.8% of users, passing The Wild Robot at 0.6% and Severance with 0.4%. This time, Gold Derby called it. Watch as LUDWIG GÖRANSSON Wins BEST SCORE SOUNDTRACK FOR VISUAL MEDIA For 'SINNERS' | 2026 GRAMMYs.
LUDWIG GÖRANSSON delivers an acceptance speech after winning the GRAMMY for BEST SCORE SOUNDTRACK FOR VISUAL MEDIA for 'SINNERS' at the 2026 GRAMMYs.Congratulations and may this be a good sign for winning at the Saturn Awards and Oscars!
Follow over the jump for wins by movie music in categories outside of visual media.
Gold Derby's odds for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance are more self-consistent yet contradict the odds for Song of the Year. "APT." by Rosé and Bruno Mars clearly leads with the votes so far of every expert, 83.3% of editors, and 50.9% of users. Professional and user opinion is split, with the remaining 16.7% of editors and 14.9% of users choosing "Golden," while 27.2% of users but no professionals picking "Defying Gravity" by Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande from Wicked. "30 for 30" by Kendrick Lamar and SZA has the support of 4.4% of users with "Gabriela" by KATSEYE in last with 2.7% of users.Once again, the numbers changed a lot by awards time, but the rankings remained the same, as "APT." still led despite losing the votes of every expert and one-sixth of editors while actually gaining users for 66.7% of editors and 58.1% of users. "Golden" gained editors and users with the remaining 33.3% of editors and 28.5% of users voting it first. Meanwhile, all the experts along with 11.7% of users expected "Defying Gravity" to win. Both "30 for 30" and "Gabriela" bled support, ending up with 1.1% and 0.6% of users respectively. The experts called it, as "Defying Gravity" won, surprising in the opposite direction for Wicked than Best Compilation Soundtrack For Visual Media did. I'm glad things evened out for Erivo and Wicked in this category. Congratulations!
Gold Derby made no predictions for Best Rock Song, but I did write that "As Alive As You Need Me To Be" "is also nominated for Best Rock Song, an award I think it has a better chance of winning." It won. Congratulations!
I'm planning on continuing my awards show coverage tomorrow as I resume examining the Saturn Awards. Sinners, anyone?
Previous posts about the 2026 Grammy Awards
- 'Sinners,' 'KPop Demon Hunters,' and 'Wicked' — movie musicals at the GRAMMYs
- 'Music by John Williams' leads Gold Derby odds for Best Music Film at the GRAMMYs
- 'The Daily Show' on Trump talking about canceling elections plus Bad Bunny at the Super Bowl and GRAMMYs
- 'Music by John Williams' wins GRAMMY for Best Music Film, earning Steven Spielberg an EGOT
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