It's time the for Oscars post I promised with the odds from Gold Derby's editors.
Best Picture: Six editors voted for Anora, four chose Conclave, and one picked The Brutalist, which was an early leader, but has since faded. I'm torn, so I'm splitting my pick between Anora and Conclave.
Best Director: Ten editors picked Sean Baker for Anora, while one still thinks early leader Brady Corbet can still win for The Brutalist. I'm going with Anora.
Best Actress: Eight editors think Saturn Award and Golden Globe winner Demi Moore will win her first Oscar for The Substance. Two think it will be Mikey Madison for Anora. One holdout is hanging on to Golden Globe winner Fernanda Torres. I would have voted for Moore at the Saturn Awards, so I'm rooting for her.
Best Actor: The Brutalist's best chances are in this category, with nine editors picking early leader Adrien Brody, while two are choosing Timothee Chalamet for A Complete Unknown. As much as I like Chalamet, it's not his time yet, so I think Brody has this in the bag.
Best Supporting Actress: Speaking of having this award in the bag, every editor selected Golden Globe winner Zoe Saldana to win this award for Emilia Perez. I agree.
Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin is also the editors' pick to walk off the podium for A Real Pain; every editor voted for him, too. Again, I agree.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Conclave won the Golden Globe as well as the Critics' Choice Awards and WGA Awards, so it's a prohibitive favorite here; again, all eleven editors voted for it to win.
Best Original Screenplay: Anora was the favorite to win the equivalent award at the Critics Choice Awards but lost it to The Substance, then won the equivalent WGA Award. It's not a prohibitive favorite; while seven editors expect it will win an Oscar, four think A Real Pain will instead. I'll pick Anora.
Best Cinematography: Ten editors voted for The Brutalist; one apparently hasn't committed to this or most of the rest of the categories. That won't deter me from beating the drum for The Brutalist.
Best Costume Design: This is one of the best chances for Wicked to win as ten editors expect it to walk off the podium with the Oscar. I agree.
Best Film Editing: Nine for Conclave, one for Anora. I'm for Conclave. Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Substance. Since this was my choice for the equivalent Saturn Award, I'm agreeing.
Best Production Design: Wicked should win this one, too.
Best Score: Nine for Conclave, one for The Brutalist. I'll pick Conclave with reservations until I hear the main theme myself.
Best Song: "El Mal" from Emilia Perez has the support of nine editors, while "Like a Bird" from Sing Sing holds onto one. Like Best Score, I'm agreeing with the expert opinion with reservations.
Best Sound: Seven for Dune: Part Two, two for A Complete Unknown, and one for Wicked. The Saturn Awards don't have a sound category, but I would have voted for the sequel in Music, so I'll transfer that to Dune: Part Two.
Best Visual Effects: Dune: Part Two has an even better chance of winning this award and it was my second choice for the Saturn Awards, so, yes.
Best Animated Feature: Eight for Saturn Award winner The Wild Robot, two for Flow. I'm going with The Wild Robot.
Best Documentary Feature: Seven for No Other Land and three for Porcelain War. No Other Land has been leading since I started looking at the odds, so why not?
Best International Film: Emilia Perez was leading, but is now behind I'm Still Here, six to four. It's one of these two, and I'm not choosing.
Best Animated Short: Eleven editors voted for this category, six for Magic Candies, four for Yuck!, and one for Beautiful Men. I'm being contrary and choosing Yuck! for the title alone.
Best Documentary Short: The Only Girl in the Orchestra leads with six, but the rest of the field has support, with two each for Incident and I Am Ready, Warden and one editor supporting Death by Numbers.
Best Live Action Short: Eight for A Lien and three for The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent. Sure, A Lien.
I close with 'Awards Magnet': Final 2025 Oscar winner predictions from Gold Derby.
Hosts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng and Gold Derby editor-in-chief Debra Birnbaum make their final Oscar winner predictions.We'll see how right these predictions will be tomorrow night. In the meantime, stay tuned for the highlights of tonight's Saturday Night Live.
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