Sunday, January 11, 2026

'Adolescence' leads TV winners at the Critics Choice Awards plus its Golden Globes nominations


I'm continuing awards coverage for today's Sunday entertainment feature of 2026 with the relevant paragraph from the Critics Choice Awards press release.
In the series categories, “Adolescence” was awarded four trophies including Best Limited Series, Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television for Stephen Graham, Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television for Owen Cooper, and Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television for Erin Doherty. “The Pitt” and “The Studio” followed closely behind, with each winning three trophies overall.
Time to see how the predictions in 'Adolescence' leads TV nominees at the Critics Choice Awards fared.
Adolescence's competition for this Best Limited Series consists of All Her Fault and Death by Lightning with four nominations each, Devil in Disguise: John Wayne Gacy and Dope Thief with three nominations apiece, Dying for Sex and The Girlfriend tied at two nominations, Chief of War with just this one nomination. The prognosticators at Gold Derby heavily favor Adolescence with every editor and expert plus 98.0% of users picking it to win. All Her Fault is the choice of 0.8% of users, followed by Dying for Sex and Dope Thief tied at 0.6%, while the rest of the field has no user support at all! At least I can pencil in All Her Fault as an early favorite at next year's Emmy Awards.
This prediction came true. Watch as "Adolescence" WINS Best Limited Series.


Stephen Graham is very likely to give two more acceptance speeches tonight based on the Gold Derby odds. Adolescence leads for Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television as the top choice of every expert, 87.5% of editors, and 98.2% of users. The editors and users split on the runner-up, as 12.5% of editors but only 0.4% of users think The Beast in Me could upset Adolescence, while 1.0% of users anticipate All Her Fault as the dark horse. Black Mirror and Dying for Sex trail as the picks of 0.3% and 0.2% of users, while The Girlfriend has no support at all!

Emmy winner Stephen Graham leads the Gold Derby odds as the pick of 75% of experts, 80.0% of editors, and 93.6% of users. He's followed by Charlie Hunnam as the choice of the rest of the editors and 3.6% of users and Brian Tyree Henry with the votes of the rest of the experts and 1.0% of users. Matthew Rhys also has the support of 1.0% of users, while Michael Chernus is the choice of 0.6% of users and Michael Shannon only has 0.2% user support.
Graham's support consolidated by the time of the ceremony, increasing to 91.7% of experts, 77.8% of editors, and 95.0% of users. That confidence paid off. Watch as Stephen Graham WINS Best Actor in a Limited Series for "Adolescence".


As I wrote above, Graham is likely to give a second acceptance speech tonight, as he is the choice of 94.7% of experts, 87.5% of editors, and 96.9% of users. The rest of the experts and editors, 5.3% and 12.5% respectively, plus 1.7% of users chose Charlie Hunnam. The rest of the field has less than one percent user support.


I'm skipping to supporting categories for now to repeat that "Emmy winner Owen Cooper is a prohibitive favorite as the choice of every expert and editor plus 96.0% of users." That rose to 96.9% of users by the ceremony, which turned out to be a smart move. Watch as Owen Cooper WINS Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series for "Adolescence".


Cooper was better prepared than Graham, as he had a written speech, not that Graham really needed one. I hope he saved it, because, as I wrote yesterday, he's likely to give it again tonight.
Tillman is unlikely to repeat at the Golden Globes because this category combines supporting actors in all four formats, drama, comedy, limited series, and TV movie. Because of that, Gold Derby has him in second behind Owen Cooper, who won the Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television. Every editor and expert plus 91.0% of users have chosen Cooper, while Tillman took the votes of 7.5% of users. The rest of the nominees have less than one percent user support each.

 For Supporting Actress in a Limited Series, I wrote, "Emmy winner Erin Doherty is also a prohibitive favorite with every expert and editor along with 95.8% of users voting for her." User support rose to 96.7% by the time of the ceremony. Those users were right. Watch as Erin Doherty WINS Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series for "Adolescence".

Erin Doherty WINS Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television for "Adolescence"
Again, Doherty will almost certainly give her acceptance speech tonight.
In the absence of LaNasa, this category is open to the winner in limited series, Erin Doherty, who 75.0% of editors, 62.5% of experts, and 50.1% of users expect will win. Gold Derby's losing choice for Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the Critics Choice Award, Hannah Einbinder, who lost to Janelle James, like LaNasa also snubbed at the Golden Globes, is the hope of the remaining 25.0% of editors, 37.5% of experts, and 43.0% of users. We have a contest! Carrie Coon trails in third with 3.8% of users, followed by Parker Posey with 1.8%, while Catherine O'Hara and Aimee Lou Wood have less than one percent each.
Congratulations to the cast, crew, and producers of Adolescence and good luck tonight!

Follow over the jump for two more Critics Choice Award winners and the odds of one of them winning a Golden Globe tonight.


Gold Derby's prognosticators missed only one category, Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television, but not by much.
Gold Derby thinks this is Michelle Williams' category to win, with every expert, 80.0% of editors, and 78.6% of users voting for her to win. Sarah Snook sits in second with the rest of the editors and 17.5% of users picking her. Oscar winner Renée Zellweger is the choice of 1.6% of users, while the rest of the nominees have 0.8% support each. At least Snook can take solace in being an early leader for this category at next year's Emmys.
Snook took home more than solace. Watch as Sarah Snook WINS Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television for "All Her Fault".


Congratulations and good luck tonight! Speaking of which, Gold Derby's prognosticators seem to have included this upset in their choices, as 73.7% of experts, 75.0% of editors, and 65.8% of users now think Snook will win tonight, while 26.3% of experts, 12.5% of editors, and 31.5% of users are sticking with Williams. Claire Danes is the pick of the remaining 12.5% of editors and 1.4% of users. The rest of the nominees have less than one percent support.

Two movies, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy and Mountainhead, have a second nomination for acting. The rest have only this one program nomination. Gold Derby breaks the tie in favor of Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy, the choice of every expert, 80.0% of editors, and 83.5% of users. Mountainhead sits second in the odds as the pick of the rest of the editors plus 8.3% of users. Nonnas is third with 3.8% user support, followed by The Gorge with 2.6%, Summer of '69 with 1.0%, and Deep Cover with 0.8%.
Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy won. Unfortunately, Critics Choice didn't upload its acceptance speech and the Golden Globes didn't nominate it; Black Mirror got its spot. Again, electorates and selection committees matter.

I expect to revisit the movie, comedy, and other winners next week for the MLK Day Weekend entertainment features, when I plan on examining diversity in Critics Choice and Golden Globes winners along with Actors Awards (formerly SAG Awards) nominees. In the meantime, I'm returning to work tomorrow, so stay tuned for short, evergreen entries through Thursday.

Previous posts about the 2025 Critics Choice Awards
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