"Is it a foregone conclusion that 'Succession' will win?" wonders Gold Derby Editor Daniel Montgomery about the Golden Globe race for Best Drama Series. He discussed his predictions in all 12 TV categories with Editor Marcus James Dixon and Expert Tariq Khan. Listen to their slugfest above.Listening to Daniel Montgomery, Marcus James Dixon, and Tariq Khan discuss the nominees reminded me that my interests in covering entertainment in general and awards shows in particular are speculative fiction and depictions of politics and government in general. All of the television drama nominees depict politics and government, even 1923 with Prohibition and The Great Depression as the political background. The Crown also explores period politics and government, Succession, The Diplomat, and The Morning Show all examine contemporary politics and government, and The Last of Us does double duty by imagining the kinds of governments that arise in a post-apocalyptic horror setting. The two shows nominated in drama acting continue this theme, with Slow Horses explicitly being about a government agency, while The Curse comments on society with local politics and government as a background and a horror trope as its gimmick.
The nominated comedies are less about politics and government, but Abbot Elementary takes place in a public school, Jury Duty in a courtroom, Barry spends part of the season in a prison, and the police play parts in Only Murders in the Building. All of those are government functions. Among the acting nominations, The Great is explicitly about politics and government while The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel touches upon political themes as part of its social commentary. Too bad none of these are likely to win series, although Jury Duty and Only Murders in the Building could walk away with Golden Globes in supporting actor categories, should the voters go for comedy over drama.
Like the nominated comedies, the limited series and actors include nominees that examine politics and government, such as All the Light We Cannot See, Fellow Travelers, Lawmen: Bass Reeves, and White House Plumbers, but the Gold Derby editors and experts aren't picking any of them to win. Darn. Speaking of which, here are Gold Derby's predictions.
Best Television Series, Drama: Succession
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series, Drama: Kieran Culkin (Succession) or Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us)
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series, Drama: Sarah Snook (Succession)
Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy: The Bear
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series, Comedy: Jeremy Allen White (The Bear)
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series, Comedy: Ayo Edebiri (The Bear)
Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television: Beef
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series or Motion Picture Made for Television: Steven Yeun (Beef)
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series or Motion Picture Made for Television: Ali Wong (Beef)
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television: Matthew Macfadyen (Succession) or James Marsden (Jury Duty)
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television: Meryl Streep (Only Murders in the Building) or Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown)
Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television: Chris Rock (Selective Outrage)
We viewers could watch a triple sweep of Succession, The Bear, and Beef Sunday night with only the winner of Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television breaking the triple streak. We should get used to that, because it could happen twice more at the Critics Choice Awards and Primetime Emmy Awards on the 14th and 15th.
Follow over the jump for discussions of the movie nominees.
The viewers get to see the participants' faces in 2024 Golden Globes slugfest: Tariq Khan, Denton Davidson and Ray Richmond debate movie predictions.
With the days turning into mere hours before the 81st Annual Golden Globe Awards ceremony from the Beverly Hilton Hotel, Gold Derby senior editor Denton Davidson and news and features editor Ray Richmond met with Gold Derby's resident encyclopedic awards expert Tariq Khan on Zoom this week to slug it out picking winners in the 15 film categories. They defend their own picks and trash the others. (Actually, not really. The truth is that the three of them agreed on more than they would have preferred.)The movie nominees are less overtly political than the television nominees, but half the drama movie nominees still examine government in history, beginning with Killers of the Flower Moon with the FBI investigating the murders of the Osage Nation in the 1920s, The Zone of Interest taking a look at the commander of Auschwitz's (!) family life, and the Manhattan Project in Oppenheimer, which is predicted to win up to five Golden Globes. Rustin earned an acting nomination for Colman Domingo, adding another film with a historical look at politics.
The musical or comedy nominees are much weaker on politics but stronger on speculative fiction, with both Barbie and Poor Things being fantasies. While all the musical or comedy nominees feature sharp social observations, Barbie includes a political plot as the Kens try to take over the society and government of Barbieland, which the Barbies foil by playing on the Kens' vanity and insecurity, both male weaknesses in the real world as well. Speaking of Barbie, it could win up to six Golden Globes. If so, "Barbenheimer" will strike at a major awards show for the first time on Sunday. It probably won't be the last.
Now the predictions from Gold Derby.
Best Motion Picture, Drama: Oppenheimer
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama: Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama: Bradley Cooper (Maestro) or Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: Barbie or Poor Things
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: Emma Stone (Poor Things) or Margot Robbie (Barbie)
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture: Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
or Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture: Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) or Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
Best Director, Motion Picture: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
Best Screenplay, Motion Picture: Barbie or Poor Things
Best Motion Picture, Animated: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse or The Boy and the Heron
Best Motion Picture, Non-English Language: Anatomy of a Fall or Past Lives
Best Original Score, Motion Picture: Oppenheimer
Best Original Song, Motion Picture: Barbie (What Was I Made For?)
Cinematic and Box Office Achievement: Barbie
Gold Derby's predictions for the Academy Awards were 18 of 23 or 78.3%, so I'm optimistic about the site's predictions for the Golden Globes and Creative Arts Emmy Awards. I'll return within the week to examine how well they did for one or both, so stay tuned.
*It's also the third anniversary of January 6th. Don't worry, I'll get to that maybe as soon as tomorrow.
Previous posts about the Golden Globes
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