Gold Derby's predictions for TV movie and music at the Emmy Awards

I closed Gold Derby's predictions for variety specials at the Emmy Awards with "I have one more Creative Arts Emmy nominees post planned for TV Movies and music. Stay tuned." Without any further ado, here are the TV movie and music nominees at the 76th Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards.

Outstanding Television Movie

• Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie (Peacock)
• Quiz Lady (Hulu)
• Red, White & Royal Blue (Prime Video)
• Scoop (Netflix)
• Unfrosted (Netflix)

The editors at Gold Derby have changed most of their minds since I first covered this category in Gold Derby's predictions for Emmy-nominated shows. Here were the top six movies according to Gold Derby's editors in mid-July.


Four editors were forecasting Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie to win while two were picking Red, White & Royal Blue, but no one thought Quiz Lady had a chance of taking the trophy home. In contrast, these are the picks of Gold Derby's editors and site odds as of last night.


Seven editors now predict Quiz Lady will win, while four are forecasting Red, White & Royal Blue, but no editor now thinks Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie will take home the statuette. What a difference two months makes!

Neither the experts nor the top 24 users have received the memo from the editors, as six experts and 16 users are sticking with Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie, while two experts and four users picked Quiz Lady, one expert and four users have chosen Red, White & Royal Blue, and one lone expert picked Scoop. Red, White & Royal Blue and Scoop both fit my stated interest in covering awards shows, examining depictions of politics and government in entertainment, so I can justify this blog post.

Outstanding Casting for a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

• Baby Reindeer – Nina Gold and Martin Ware (Netflix)
• Fargo – Rachel Tenner, Jackie Lind, Stephanie Gorin, and Rhonda Fisekci (FX)
• Feud: Capote vs. The Swans – Alexa L. Fogel (FX)
• Ripley – Avy Kaufman, Francesco Vedovati, and Barbara Giordani (Netflix)
• True Detective: Night Country – Francine Maisler, Deborah Schildt, and Alda B. Gudjónsdóttir (HBO)

TV movies could have been nominated in this category, but this year's class isn't last year's, when Weird: The Al Yankovic Story had the most nominations in the Emmy field with eight, followed by Prey with six, Hocus Pocus 2 with three, Dolly Parton's Mountain Magic Christmas with two, and Fire Island with only one. That's a lot of nominations for television movies. This year, all the TV movie nominations had only one nomination each. That's disappointing. I think the stars in Quiz Lady Awkwafina, Sandra Oh, and Will Ferrell, along with supporting actress Tawny Newsome and the next to last appearance of the late Paul Reubens, could have made it competitive here. Sigh.

Enough whining. On to the Gold Derby odds! All eleven editors along with nine experts and 22 users voted for Baby Reindeer. One expert and user each think Fargo could upset. One user hasn't chosen a winner. They should pick Baby Reindeer.

The next award is the first music category listed on Wikipedia, which is fortuitous, for it serves as a transition between TV movies and limited series above the jump and music below the jump.

Outstanding Music Composition for a Limited or Anthology Series, Movie or Special (Original Dramatic Score)

• All the Light We Cannot See: "Episode 4" – James Newton Howard (Netflix)
• Fargo: "Blanket" – Jeff Russo (FX)
• Lawmen: Bass Reeves: "Part I" – Chanda Dancy (Paramount+)
• Lessons in Chemistry: "Book of Calvin" – Carlos Rafael Rivera (Apple TV+)
• The Tattooist of Auschwitz: "Episode 1" – Kara Talve and Hans Zimmer (Peacock)

Gold Derby's forecasters favor Fargo with eight editors, seven experts, and 17 users filling in their ballots with it. Two editors and four users selected Lessons in Chemistry with one editor went out on a limb with All the Light We Cannot See while three experts and one user took a chance with The Tattooist of Auschwitz, probably based on Hans Zimmer being one of the nominated composers and the limited series also being nominated for Original Music and Lyrics. I should listen to selections from the soundtracks first, but if I don't get around to it, I'd probably pick Fargo.

Follow over the jump for the rest of the music categories with Gold Derby predictions.

Outstanding Music Composition for a Series (Original Dramatic Score)

• The Crown: "Sleep, Dearie Sleep" – Martin Phipps (Netflix)
• Mr. & Mrs. Smith: "First Date" – David Fleming (Prime Video)
• Only Murders in the Building: "Sitzprobe" – Siddhartha Khosla (Hulu)
• Palm Royale: "Maxine Saves a Cat" – Jeff Toyne (Apple TV+)
• Shogun: "Servants of Two Masters" – Atticus Ross, Leopold Ross, and Nick Chuba (FX)
• Silo: "Freedom Day" – Atli Örvarsson (Apple TV+)
• Slow Horses: "Strange Games" – Daniel Pemberton and Toydrum (Apple TV+)

This category and the next could become part of a Shogun sweep along with Main Title Design, Drama Casting, and Drama Guest Actor, which Gold Derby also predicts the series about feudal Japan will win, as ten editors, nine experts, and 21 users selected Shogun. One editor and one expert expects Only Murders in the Building to excel, while two users chose The Crown.

Outstanding Original Main Title Theme Music

• Feud: Capote vs. The Swans - Thomas Newman (FX)
• Lessons in Chemistry - Carlos Rafael Rivera (Apple TV+)
• Masters of the Air - Blake Neely (Apple TV+)
• Palm Royale - Jeff Toyne (Apple TV+)
• Shogun - Atticus Ross, Leopold Ross, and Nick Chuba (FX)

Gold Derby displays more diversity of opinion in this category, as eight editors, eight experts, and 18 users voted for Shogun. Two editors, two experts, and four users love Lessons in Chemistry enough to think it will win, while one editor has Feud: Capote vs. The Swans as their choices and one user picked Palm Royale. Sorry, nothing for Masters of the Air.

Outstanding Original Music and Lyrics

• Girls5eva: "New York" - "The Medium Time" by Sara Bareilles (Netflix)
• Only Murders in the Building: "Sitzprobe" - "Which of the Pickwick Triplets Did It?" by Benj Pasek, Justin Paul, Marc Shaiman, and Scott Wittman (Hulu)
• Saturday Night Live: "Host: Maya Rudolph" - "Maya Rudolph Mother's Day Monologue" by Eli Brueggemann, Maya Rudolph, Auguste White, Mike DiCenzo, and Jake Nordwind (NBC)
• The Tattooist of Auschwitz: "Episode 6" - "Love Will Survive" by Kara Talve, Hans Zimmer, Walter Afanasieff, and Charlie Midnight (Peacock)
• True Detective: Night Country: "Part 5" - "No Use" by John Hawkes (HBO)

There is more agreement for this award, as ten editors, all ten experts, and 16 users made Only Murders in the Building their choice. One editor and two users are going for Girls5eva, while two users singled out Saturday Night Live and one lone user took The Tattooist of Auschwitz as their winner.

Outstanding Music Supervision

• Baby Reindeer: "Episode 4" – Catherine Grieves (Netflix)
• Fallout: "The End" – Trygge Toven (Prime Video)
• Fargo: "The Tragedy of the Commons" – Maggie Phillips (FX)
• Mr. & Mrs. Smith: "A Breakup" – Jen Malone (Prime Video)
• Only Murders in the Building: "Grab Your Hankies" – Bruce Gilbert and Lauren Marie Mikus (Hulu)
• True Detective: Night Country: "Part 4" – Susan Jacobs (HBO)

There is a lot less unanimity at Gold Derby for this award, as seven editors, six experts, and 20 users fell for Fallout . Three editors, one expert, and one user broke for Baby Reindeer, while two experts expect Only Murders in the Building to upset, one expert and one user found the music for Fargo fascinating, and one editor made Mr. & Mrs. Smith their choice.

I conclude with three videos from Gold Derby, beginning with TV Composers Full Panel: The Crown, Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Only Murders, Tattooist of Auschwitz.

Four TV composers will reveal secrets behind their projects when they join Gold Derby's special "Meet the Experts" Q&A event with 2024 Emmy Awards nominees. Enjoy our full one-hour video with solo chats for each person followed by a lively roundtable group panel. Guests are from The Crown (Martin Phipps), Mr. and Mrs. Smith (David Fleming), Only Murders in the Building (Siddhartha Khosla) and The Tattooist of Auschwitz (Kara Talve). Gold Derby editor Rob Licuria is the host.

The composers seem to like me better than the other Hollywood creatives and I love them right back.

Next, Editors 2024 Emmy Creative Arts slugfest: Guest actor/actress, TV-movie, casting, game show, more, a sequel to the video I embedded at the end of Gold Derby's predictions for variety specials at the Emmy Awards.

While most of the prediction thought and energy when forecasting the 76th Primetime Emmy Awards goes to the big-ticket honors for comedy, drama and limited series, there are no fewer than 99 additional categories for which statuettes will be handed out at the Creative Arts Emmys on September 7 and 8 at the Peacock Theater at L.A. LIVE. And because they had already talked themselves hoarse debating the merits of the categories included in The Big Emmy Show on September 15, Gold Derby senior editors Denton Davidson, Marcus James Dixon and Daniel Montgomery and news and features editor Ray Richmond decided it was time to lock horns in a slugfest examining some of the too-often-less-discussed nominees gunning for gold in the creative arts portion of the three-day Emmy extravaganza. Watch the quartet's lively discussion above.

You can see the switch from Mr. Monk's Last Case: A Monk Movie to Quiz Lady and Red, White & Royal Blue among the editors in this clip.

I close with Experts slugfest: Our final 2024 Creative Arts Emmys winner predictions.

Gold Derby editors and Experts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng share their picks for this weekend's Creative Arts Emmys. Will Claire Foy win a third Emmy for "The Crown"? Will RuPaul nine-peat? Can anyone stop Jamie Lee Curtis?

This video inspired me to leave the follow comment.

Re 25:05, "We gotta add another letter": I suggest the Golden Globes, which would turn the EGOT into the EGGOT. The issues are that the Globes aren't what they used to be, for both good and ill, it would put even more emphasis on movies and TV, and winning the Globes but not a Grammy would still be an EGOT, which might be confusing. The other EGOT, anyone?

No response yet. What do my readers think?

I might comment on tonight's nonfiction winners for tomorrow's Sunday entertainment feature. Stay tuned.

Previous posts about the 76th Primetime and Creative Arts Emmy Awards

• Gold Derby's predictions for Emmy-nominated shows
• How did Gold Derby's Emmy nominations predictions fare?
• Sandy Hook Promise's 'Just Joking' the sole PSA among Emmy nominees for Outstanding Commercial
• 'Beyond Utopia,' ' Going to Mars,' and 'Stamped from the Beginning,' Emmy nominees for Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking
• Entertainment and true crime the themes of Emmy nominees for Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
• John Oliver debunks 'Migrant Crime' in the middle of covering the RNC on 'Last Week Tonight'
• 'Jon Stewart Debunks GOP’s City Crime Narrative' plus 'The Daily Show's Emmy nominations
• Emmy-nominated 'Desi Lydic Foxsplains Accusations that Republicans are "Weird"' plus the short form Emmy nominees
• Planet Earth III's Emmy nominations for World Lion Day
• Presidential jokes from Stephen Colbert for National Presidential Joke Day
• 'Jeopardy!' and 'Password' favored to win Game Show categories at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards
• 'Girls State' stands out against field of entertainment nominees for Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Special at the Emmy Awards
• 'Conan O'Brian Must Go' vs. 'Finding Your Roots with Henry Louis Gates, Jr.' for Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special at the Emmy Awards
• Gold Derby predicts guest actor, guest actress, reality host, and voice-over at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards
• Gold Derby's predictions for reality programs at the Emmy Awards
• Gold Derby's predictions for variety specials at the Emmy Awards