A blog about societal, cultural, and civilizational collapse, and how to stave it off or survive it. Named after the legendary character "Crazy Eddie" in Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle's "The Mote in God's Eye." Expect news and views about culture, politics, economics, technology, and science fiction.
Every expert and editor along with 94.1% of users predicts The Pitt will repeat as Outstanding Drama Series. Pluribus is the pick of 5.2% of users, while the rest of the nominees have 0.4% or fewer users behind each.
The team from The Pitt talks to Albert Lawrence backstage at the 78th Emmy Awards after winning the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series.
I believe health care workers would like this show. My ex-wife was a nurse — she's retired now — and the stories The Pitt tells match the most dramatic she'd tell me when she got home from shift.
Every editor, 84.6% of experts, and 84.4% of users agree with me that this is Rhea Seehorn's award to lose and has been since December. Keri Russell has captivated the remaining 15.4% of experts and 13.0% of users, followed by Zendaya with 2.1% of users. Carrie Coon has 0.3% user support while Chase Infiniti brings up the rear with 0.1%.
Rhea Seehorn and Vince Gilligan of Pluribus talk to Albert Lawrence backstage at the 78th Emmy Awards. Rhea Seehorn wins the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series, and Vince Gilligan wins for Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series.
That was fun and congratulations. I'm looking forward to Season 2, whenever it returns.
Every expert and editor plus 95.3% of users are acclaiming Noah Wyle to repeat. Mark Ruffalo is a distant second with 2.5% of users, followed by Gary Oldman with 1.2%, Sterling K. Brown with 0.9%, and Rufus Sewell with 0.1%.
Noah Wyle accepts the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series for The Pitt at the 78th Emmys.
Wyle's winnerview was also The Pitt's, so I'm moving on to the next category, which was a surprise, including to the winner.
Four actresses from The Pitt earning nominations in this category could result in massive vote splitting that could allow a nominee from another series to slip on through. The other outcome is that the voters look at the nominees side-by-side and decide on the best one. That's what Gold Derby thinks will happen, as a fairly consistent 80.8% of both experts and users along with 88.9% of editors expect Katherine LaNasa will return to the stage, followed by 11.5% of experts and 9.4% of users who suspect Sepideh Moafi will upset, then 11.1% of editors and 5.9% of users captivated by Karolina Wydra, then the remaining 7.7% of experts and 1.8% of users who anticipate Allison Janney will be the best TV president. Taylor Dearden has the support of 1.1% of users, followed by Julianne Nicholson with 0.7%, then Fiona Dourif with 0.2%.
It looks like the first possible outcome, "massive vote splitting that could allow a nominee from another series to slip on through," is what happened. Watch Supporting Actress in a Drama Series: 78th Emmys.
Allison Janney accepts the Emmy for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series for The Diplomat at the 78th Emmys.
Janney had more to say in .
Allison Janney from The Diplomat talks to Albert Lawrence backstage at the 78th Emmy Awards after winning the Emmy for Supporting Actress in a Drama Series.
Congratulations, not only on this Emmy, but all eight over her career so far!
Massive vote splitting was probably a factor in the next category, which was less of a surprise.
Every editor, 57.7% of experts, and 62.7% of users have picked Patrick Ball to win. On the other hand, 34.6% of experts and 27.4% of users think Tom Pelphrey will take home the Emmy, giving Task the best chance for a drama series other than The Pitt or Pluribus to win an Emmy tomorrow. The remaining 7.7% of experts along with 5.6% of users selected Shawn Hatosy to upset. No, he's not better than Ball, although I think he and the night shift deserve their own spinoff series. They look like fun. The rest of the user vote splits among Billy Crudup at 2.1%, Carlos-Manuel Vesga at 1.0%, Jack Lowden at 0.7%, and Gerran Howell at 0.6%.
Tom Pelphrey accepts the Emmy for Outstanding Actor in a Drama Series for Task at the 78th Emmys.
As I wrote on Twitter/X at the time, "This makes up for him not even being nominated for this category for 'Ozark' (but then nominated for the role the next season as a Guest Actor)." Congratulations!
Tom Pelphrey from Task talks to Albert Lawrence backstage at the 78th Emmy Awards after winning the Emmy for Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.
I don't know who loves each other more, Pelphrey and Kaley Cuoco or Matthew Rhys and Keri Russell. At least Pelphrey thanked Cuoco in his speech.
Now for the biggest surprise of the night, at least as far as Gold Derby is concerned.
Professional opinion is split on the top two in this category with the users breaking a virtual tie in favor of Vince Gilligan and Pluribus, which has the support of 65.4% of experts, 44.4% of editors, and 74.2% of users, while The Pitt's support consists of 34.6% of experts, 55.6% of editors, and 22.6% of users. Task follows with 1.9%, then The Gilded Age and Slow Horses tied at 0.6%, with Paradise bringing up the rear at 0.1%.
Saul Metzstein talks to Albert Lawrence backstage at the 78th Emmy Awards after winning the Emmy for Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series for Slow Horses.
Yes, congratulations!
I close the above-the-jump portion with a category that went the way Gold Derby thought it would.
Professional opinion is much more united behind Vince Gilligan and Pluribus for his writing, as every editor and 80.0% of experts along with 80.1% of users expect Gilligan will escape the podium with the statuette. The next choice among experts at 8.0% and users at 10.9% is the "12:00 P.M." of The Pitt. Slow Horses also has 8.0% of experts and 6.7% of users. The "1:00 P.M." episode of The Pitt picked up the remaining 4.0% of experts along with 0.7% of users. The Diplomat and Task split the rest of the user vote at 1.0% and 0.6%, respectively.
Vince Gilligan accepts the Emmy for Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series for Pluribus at the 78th Emmy Awards.
Well said!
Those were the winners on Monday. Follow over the jump for the winners the Sunday before I didn't already recognize, all of which are science fiction, horror, or fantasy, including fantasy-adjacent, as Bridgerton was retelling a fairy tale, namely Cinderella.
The nominees for Outstanding Drama Series are The Diplomat, The Pitt, Slow Horses, The Gilded [Age], A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Paradise, Pluribus, Your Friends & Neighbors.
The Pitt has a dozen nominations in six categories pending at Monday's ceremony plus four Creative Arts Emmy Awards, five if one counts Inside The Pitt, winner of Outstanding Short Form Nonfiction or Reality Series as a tiebreaker. Pluribus has six Primetime Emmy nominations in six categories plus four Creative Arts Emmys. They are followed by Slow Horses and The Diplomat with five nominations, Paradise with four nominations and one Creative Arts Emmy Award, Task with four nominations, The Gilded Age with three nominations, A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms with one nomination and one Creative Arts Emmy, and Your Friends & Neighbors with one nomination.
Unlike their reactions to the multiple wins by Widow's Bay and DTF St. Louis at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards, Gold Derby's prognosticators maintained the odds of the existing favorites, The Pitt and Pluribus, depending on the category. Every expert and editor along with 94.1% of users predicts The Pitt will repeat as Outstanding Drama Series. Pluribus is the pick of 5.2% of users, while the rest of the nominees have 0.4% or fewer users behind each.
The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series are Carrie Coon, Chase Infiniti, Keri Russell, Rhea Seehorn and Zendaya.
Every editor, 84.6% of experts, and 84.4% of users agree with me that this is Rhea Seehorn's award to lose and has been since December. Keri Russell has captivated the remaining 15.4% of experts and 13.0% of users, followed by Zendaya with 2.1% of users. Carrie Coon has 0.3% user support while Chase Infiniti brings up the rear with 0.1%.
The nominees for Lead Actor in a Drama Series are Sterling K. Brown, Gary Oldman, Mark Ruffalo, Rufus Sewell and Noah Wyle.
Every expert and editor plus 95.3% of users are acclaiming Noah Wyle to repeat. Mark Ruffalo is a distant second with 2.5% of users, followed by Gary Oldman with 1.2%, Sterling K. Brown with 0.9%, and Rufus Sewell with 0.1%.
Four actresses from The Pitt earning nominations in this category could result in massive vote splitting that could allow a nominee from another series to slip on through. The other outcome is that the voters look at the nominees side-by-side and decide on the best one. That's what Gold Derby thinks will happen, as a fairly consistent 80.8% of both experts and users along with 88.9% of editors expect Katherine LaNasa will return to the stage, followed by 11.5% of experts and 9.4% of users who suspect Sepideh Moafi will upset, then 11.1% of editors and 5.9% of users captivated by Karolina Wydra, then the remaining 7.7% of experts and 1.8% of users who anticipate Allison Janney will be the best TV president. Taylor Dearden has the support of 1.1% of users, followed by Julianne Nicholson with 0.7%, then Fiona Dourif with 0.2%.
Every editor, 57.7% of experts, and 62.7% of users have picked Patrick Ball to win. On the other hand, 34.6% of experts and 27.4% of users think Tom Pelphrey will take home the Emmy, giving Task the best chance for a drama series other than The Pitt or Pluribus to win an Emmy tomorrow. The remaining 7.7% of experts along with 5.6% of users selected Shawn Hatosy to upset. No, he's not better than Ball, although I think he and the night shift deserve their own spinoff series. They look like fun. The rest of the user vote splits among Billy Crudup at 2.1%, Carlos-Manuel Vesga at 1.0%, Jack Lowden at 0.7%, and Gerran Howell at 0.6%.
The Gilded Age: "My Mind Is Made Up" – Salli Richardson-Whitfield (HBO)
Paradise: "Exodus" – Hanelle Culpepper (Hulu)
The Pitt: "12:00 P.M." – Noah Wyle (HBO Max)
Pluribus: "We Is Us" – Vince Gilligan (Apple TV)
Slow Horses: "Scars" – Saul Metzstein (Apple TV)
Task: "Out beyond ideas of wrongdoing and rightdoing, there is a river." – Salli Richardson-Whitfield (HBO)
Professional opinion is split on the top two in this category with the users breaking a virtual tie in favor of Vince Gilligan and Pluribus, which has the support of 65.4% of experts, 44.4% of editors, and 74.2% of users, while The Pitt's support consists of 34.6% of experts, 55.6% of editors, and 22.6% of users. Task follows with 1.9%, then The Gilded Age and Slow Horses tied at 0.6%, with Paradise bringing up the rear at 0.1%.
Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series
The Diplomat: "Amagansett" – Peter Akerman and Debora Cahn (Netflix)
The Pitt: "1:00 P.M." – Kirsten Pierre-Geyfman and R. Scott Gemmill (HBO)
The Pitt: "12:00 P.M." – Valerie Chu (HBO)
Pluribus: "We Is Us" – Vince Gilligan (Apple TV)
Slow Horses: "Scars" – Will Smith (Apple TV)
Task: "A Still Small Voice" – Brad Ingelsby (HBO)
Professional opinion is much more united behind Vince Gilligan and Pluribus for his writing, as every editor and 80.0% of experts along with 80.1% of users expect Gilligan will escape the podium with the statuette. The next choice among experts at 8.0% and users at 10.9% is the "12:00 P.M." of The Pitt. Slow Horses also has 8.0% of experts and 6.7% of users. The "1:00 P.M." episode of The Pitt picked up the remaining 4.0% of experts along with 0.7% of users. The Diplomat and Task split the rest of the user vote at 1.0% and 0.6%, respectively.
Follow over the jump for the Creative Arts Emmys won by The Pitt and Pluribus.
I'm resuming my awards show coverage with the animation nominations. Here are the nominees and winners (yes, already) at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.
Outstanding Animated Program
Bob's Burgers: "Grand Pre-Pre-Pre-Opening" (Fox)
Rick and Morty: "There's Something About Morty" (Adult Swim)
The Simpsons: "Homer? A Cracker Bro?" (Fox)
Smiling Friends: "Le Voyage Incroyable de Monsieur Grenouille" (Adult Swim)
South Park: "Sermon on the 'Mount" (Comedy Central)
Star Wars: Visions: "BLACK" (Disney+)
South Park leads with three nominations, followed by Star Wars: Visions with one nomination and a win, The Simpsons with two nominations, and Bob's Burgers, Rick and Morty, and Smiling Friends with just this one nomination. Gold Derby's prediction page for the Creative Arts Emmy Awards also has South Park leading, as every editor, 90.9% of experts, and 92.6% of users believe it will win with professional and user opinion split among the rest of the nominees with the remaining 9.1% of experts and 1.7% of users selecting Smiling Friends while Bob's Burgers and The Simpsons tied at 2.5% of users each, followed by Rick and Morty with the final 0.8% of users. No one at Gold Derby thinks Star Wars: Visions has a chance, but the series earned an Emmy anyway in the next category.
Outstanding Individual Achievement in Animation (Juried)
Eyes of Wakanda: "Into the Lion's Den" – Uzoma Dunkwu (Disney+)‡
Genndy Tartakovsky's Primal: "Kingdom of Sorrow" – David Krentz (Adult Swim)‡
Genndy Tartakovsky's Primal: "Vengeance of Death" – Scott Wills (Adult Swim)‡
The Mighty Nein: "Mote of Possibility" – Howard Chen (Prime Video)‡
Star Wars: Visions: "The Duel: Payback" – Takashi Okazaki (Disney+)‡
Congratulations to all the winners, including Genndy Tartakovsky's Primal twice!
Pamela Adlon – King of the Hill: "Any Given Hill-Day" as Bobby Hill (Hulu)
Julie Andrews – Bridgerton: "The Waltz" as Lady Whistledown (Netflix)
Hank Azaria – The Simpsons: "Keep Chalm and Gary On" as Gary Chalmers (Fox)
Trey Parker – South Park: "The Crap Out" as Satan (Comedy Central)
Matt Vogel – The Muppet Show as Kermit the Frog (Disney+)
Steven Yeun – Invincible: "Don't Leave Me Hanging Here" as Mark Grayson / Invincible (Prime Video)
Julie Andrews leads with every expert, 66.7% of editors, and 79.6% of Gold Derby users selecting her to win. She's followed by Pamela Adlon with the remaining 33.3% of editors and 12.4% of users. The rest of the users are split among Trey Parker with 4.4%, Matt Vogel with 1.8%, then Hank Azaria and Steven Yeun tied at 0.9%.
The prognosticators are consolidating around Julie Andrews as every expert, 75% of editors, and 85.1% of users are now choosing her to win. Meanwhile, 25% of editors and 9.9% of users remain with Pamela Adlon, 4.1% of users are sticking with Trey Parker, and 0.8% maintain their support for Matt Vogel. Hank Azaria and Steven Yuen have lost all their voters. That took less than a week!
Outstanding Original Music and Lyrics
The Boys: "The Frenchman, the Female, and the Man Called Mother's Milk" – "Raise Him Up" by Christopher Lennertz and Daveed Diggs (Prime Video)
Hacks: "EGOT" – "Mis Figuritas" by Carlos Rafael Rivera and David Stal (HBO Max)
The Pitt: "12:00 P.M." – "Need Someone" by Gavin Brivik and Andrew Bird (HBO Max)
South Park: "The Crap Out" – "Christian Woman" by Trey Parker (Comedy Central)
Spider-Noir: "A Mistake I'll Never Make Again" – "The Devil You Know" by Warren Oak Felder, Sebastian Kole, and Daniel Pemberton (MGM+ / Prime Video)
Wednesday: "Woe Me the Money" – "The Dead Dance" by Lady Gaga, Andrew Watt, and Henry Russell Walter (Netflix)
This is a three-way contest for the Emmy according to Gold Derby among "The Dead Dance" from Wednesday with 45.5% of experts, 50% of editors, and 56.3% of users expecting Lady Gaga will win her first Emmy, 27.3% of experts, 25% of editors, and 25.2% of users predicting The Boys will repeat with "Raise Him Up," and 18.2% of experts, the remaining 25% of editors, and 16.8% of users hoping Hacks will take home the Emmy for "Mis Figuritas." User and professional opinion split on their final choice, as 1.7% of users think "The Devil You Know" from Spider-Noir is the dark horse while the remaining 9.1% of experts think "Need Someone" will pick up a trophy as part of a sweep by The Pitt. No one thinks "Christian Woman" will win. Listen to A Christian Woman Knows Her Place — Singing ONLY — SOUTH PARK Christmas Song S28 Ep5 and hear why.
That's mean comedy like one would expect from South Park (and Borat) that succeeds at being a deliberately a bad song, bad enough to make me root even harder for Lady Gaga.
Follow over the jump for a category Gold Derby didn't handicap.
