Tuesday, September 16, 2025

'Arcane' and 'Love, Death & Robots' both earn four Emmy Awards


I'm continuing my coverage of the Creative Arts Emmy Awards winners with a follow-up to 'Arcane,' 'Love, Death + Robots,' and 'Octopus!' already Emmy Award winners, itself an update to 'Arcane' leads Gold Derby odds to win Outstanding Animated Program at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.
Outstanding Animated Program
  • Arcane: "The Dirt Under Your Nails" (Netflix)
  • Bob's Burgers: "They Slug Horses, Don't They?" (Fox)
  • Common Side Effects: "Cliff's Edge" (Adult Swim)
  • Love, Death & Robots: "Spider Rose" (Netflix)
  • The Simpsons: "Bart's Birthday" (Fox)
Arcane, Love, Death & Robots, and The Simpsons all have two nominations, while Bob's Burgers and Common Side Effects have just this one. Gold Derby's odds break the tie at the top as all experts, three-quarters of editors, and 88.2% of users have chosen 2022 winner Arcane to return to the podium next month. The other quarter of the editors and 6.3% of users picked 2023 winner The Simpsons to walk off with the statuette. The long-shot picks are Bob's Burgers with 2.8% of users, Common Side Effects with 1.7% of users, and Love, Death & Robots in last with 1.0% of users. Love, Death & Robots will have to get its Emmy elsewhere.
Opinion has consolidated around Arcane, as all of the experts and editors plus 90.7% of users now expect it will win. The rest of the field consists of The Simpsons with 4.6% of users, Bob's Burgers with 1.9, and Common Side Effects and Love, Death & Robots tied at 1.4%. At least more users have moved to Love, Death + Robots, while all the rest of the also-rans have lost support.
Like most categories, Gold Derby called it. Kudos to the experts, editors, and users!

Outstanding Sound Editing for an Animated Program
  • Arcane: "The Dirt Under Your Nails" – Brad Beaumont, Eliot Connors, Stephen P. Robinson, Janet "PJ" Pascual, Dan O'Connell, and John Cucci (Netflix)
  • Love, Death & Robots: "400 Boys" – Brad North, Craig Henighan, Dawn Lunsford, Jeff Charbonneau, and Alicia Stevens (Netflix)
  • Secret Level: "Warhammer 40,000: They Shall Know No Fear" – Matt Yocum, Brad North, Nolan McNaughton, Ryan Sullivan, Joseph Fraioli, Christopher Battaglia, Harry Cohen, Matt Manselle, Matt Tesley, and Brian Straub (Prime Video)
  • Star Trek: Lower Decks: "The New Next Generation" – James Lucero, Drew Guy, Konrad PiƱon, James Singleton, John Wynn, Michael Britt, and Amber Funk (Paramount+)
  • What If...?: "What If... 1872?" – Mac Smith, Vanessa Lapato, Alyssa Nevarez, Steve Bissinger, Derek McGinley, Anele Onyekwere, Carl Sealove, Andrea Stelter Gard, and Sean England (Disney+)
Gold Derby does not have odds for this category, which is new, having been split off from comedy. My pick is the last animation winner, Love, Death & Robots, although both Arcane and Star Trek: Lower Decks are previous nominees.
I was wrong about Love, Death & Robots winning this category, but at least thought Arcane could win. On the other hand, I was right that Love, Death & Robots would get its Emmy Awards elsewhere — four of them, in fact.

Love, Death + Robots may not be favored to win Outstanding Animated Program, but it already has four Emmy Awards, two each for two episodes. "400 Boys" won two Emmys, Daryl Graham for Character Animation and Robert Valley for Character Design. "How Zeke Got Religion" also won two Emmys, Gigi Cavenago for Production Design and Edgar Martins for Storyboard.
Congratulations to all the animation winners!

That's a wrap for today's installment. Stay tuned for coverage of the comedy series winners I promised in 'Adolescence' sweeps its categories at the Emmy Awards with one win for 'The Penguin'.

Previous posts about the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards

Monday, September 15, 2025

'Adolescence' sweeps its categories at the Emmy Awards with one win for 'The Penguin'


I'm resuming my Emmy Awards covhttps://i.pinimg.com/736x/37/b3/45/37b345e004635d907d7eef293a633e67.jpgerage by comparing the predictions in 'The Penguin' has already won 8 Emmys, but could lose to 'Adolescence' to reality.
The prognosticators at Gold Derby flip the top two, as Adolescence leads as the choice of every editor and expert along with 93.3% of users. Gold Derby's odds-makers think the Television Academy will give The Penguin the bird instead of the Emmy, as 5.8% are betting on the Batman villain. Dying for Sex and Monsters: The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story have miniscule support at 0.4% each and Black Mirror has only 0.2% of users making long-shot picks. Long-shots occasionally win — one did last night — but not in this case.
As predicted, Adolescence won Limited Or Anthology Series: 77th Emmy Awards.

Adolescence accepts the Emmy for Limited Or Anthology Series at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Congratulations!

Adolescence had no nominees in the next category, so an actress from another show won.
There is less consensus in this category, as Cristin Milioti leads as the choice of 80.0% of editors, 69.2% of experts, and 79.0% of users while 2019 Emmy winner Michelle Williams earned the rest of the professional votes, 20.0% of editors and 30.8% of experts, along with 17.6% of users. We have a contest! Two-time Oscar winner Cate Blanchett has the votes of 2.2% of users, followed by Rashida Jones with 1.1% and Meghann Fahy at 0.2%. Milioti should be pleased to be doing this well against this field!
Again, as expected, Milioti won Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Cristin Milioti accepts the Emmy for Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for The Penguin at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I'm glad to see her so moved and excited by her award. I'm also glad one speculative fiction nominee won, even if this interpretation of Batman and his rogues gallery is fairly realistic.

The next winner was a bit of a surprise.
There is more consensus at Gold Derby, but they still see this as a contest, with every editor, 71.4% of experts, and 81.1% of users picking Colin Farrell, while 28.6% of experts and 17.2% of users are choosing Stephen Graham. The rest of the nominees are well behind with Cooper Koch having the support of 0.9% of users while Jake Gyllenhaal and Brian Tyree Henry are tied at 0.4%.
Farrell didn't win. Instead Graham walked off with the Emmy for Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Stephen Graham accepts the Emmy for Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for Adolescence at the 77th Emmy Awards.
The announcer mentioned that this was his second Emmy and he was nominated for a third. He won that, too, which is why the preview image shows him holding three statuettes.

The next award went as Gold Derby predicted.
Every editor and expert expects Erin Doherty to win along with 84.9% of Gold Derby users. The rest of the nominees are below 10% with Jenny Slate having 9.9% user support, followed by Deirdre O'Connell with 3.8%, Ruth Negga with 0.7% and Christine Tremarco and Chloe Sevigny tied at 0.4%.
Watch Doherty win Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Erin Doherty accepts the Emmy for Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for Adolescence at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Congratulations!

The next award also went as Gold Derby predicted.
There is even more overwhelming support for Owen Cooper, who is the choice of every editor and expert along with 97.0% of users. Wow! The rest of the field has less than 2% user support with Javier Bardem at 1.8%, Ashley Walters at 0.6%, Bill Camp at 0.4%, Peter Sarsgaard at 0.2.%, and Rob Delaney with 0.0%.
Cooper won Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Owen Cooper accepts the Emmy for Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for Adolescence at the 77th Emmy Awards.
Congratulations to Cooper on becoming the youngest Emmy Award winning actor!

The next award went as predicted, although it seems the presenter wasn't clued in.
Gold Derby's consensus around this category is almost as strong with every editor and expert along with 94.7% of users anticipating Adolescence as the winner. The users picked both nominated episodes of The Penguin next, with 4.6% supporting Helen Shaver for "Cent'Anni" and 0.6% behind Jennifer Getzinger for "A Great or Little Thing." Nicole Kassell has captured 0.2% of users for Sirens, while there is no user support for either Dying for Sex or Zero Day. On the one hand, look at all the women nominated. On the other, none of them are likely to win. Darn.
Watch Directing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Philip Barantini accepts the Emmy for Directing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for Adolescence at the 77th Emmy Awards.
I close with the first Emmy Graham won, although it's the third I'm showing today.
Gold Derby's consensus is nearly as consolidated for writing as for directing, with every editor and expert plus 94.2% of users anticipating Adolescence as the awardee. The rest of the nominees have less than 5% each with 4.2% picking The Penguin, 0.6% behind Black Mirror and Dying for Sex, and 0.4% supporting Say Nothing.
Watch Writing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie: 77th Emmy Awards.

Jack Thorne and Stephen Graham accept the Emmy for Writing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie for Adolescence at the 77th Emmy Awards.
That bit was even dumber the second time around, although it did make the point about how important writers are in television. As for Graham and Thorne, I'm going to show my age by saying they look like Mutt and Jeff.

The Penguin had such a headstart on awards that it ended up with nine, one more than Adolescence. Congratulations! Only The Studio beat it with a total of 13, including four major awards, the second most last night. I plan on examining The Studio, Hacks, and Somebody Somewhere on Wednesday. Stay tuned.

Previous posts about the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards

Sunday, September 14, 2025

NBC and CNBC report on likely Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger


I'm taking a break from Emmy Awards coverage for this week's Sunday entertainment feature to examine a business of entertainment story, a reported offer for Paramount to buy Warner Bros. Discovery. I begin with NBC News explaining What a Paramount merger with Warner Bros. Discovery could mean for television.

Paramount Skydance is preparing to make a bid for Warner Brothers Discovery. NBC News' Tom Llamas talks to media and sports reporter Alex Sherman about what this potential merger could mean for film and television.
This could have major effects on entertainment production and consumption, although the resulting company would still not be as big as Amazon and Apple, which are primarily technology companies, or Disney, which definitely is still a media company. CNBC Television was thinking of a different media company when it uploaded Combining Paramount and Warner Bros. could create real competition to Netflix: Puck's Matt Belloni.

Matt Belloni, Puck founding partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss reports of Paramount Skydance preparing an all-cash takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, impact on the media industry, and more.
I was wondering if/when Joe Kernan would say something that would annoy me and he lived down to my expectations by speculating on what this merger would do to CNN's personnel. CBS News and CNN merging would likely result in a more conservative news outlet, which would make Donald "Hoover Cleveland" Trump get out of the deal's way. It's a legitimate topic that I'm concerned about, but Kernan's attitude rubbed me the wrong way. Good thing Andrew Ross Sorkin stepped in to change the tone.

Speaking of Sorkin, he kicked off the questioning in David Ellison is trying to do something no one's ever done, says LightShed's Rich Greenfield.

Rich Greenfield, LightShed Partners co-founder, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss reports of Paramount Skydance preparing an all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, impact on the rest of the media industry, prospect of Comcast making a competing bid, and more.
When I first heard about a potential buyer for Warner Bros., it was NBCUniversal, which would make sense for Universal Studios theme parks; Harry Potter's movie and theme park IP would under the same umbrella instead of being split. That was under the Biden Administration. As Greenfield pointed out, this won't happen with Hoover Cleveland in charge. Besides, the Ellisons can outbid NBCUniversal, so it won't happen from a business perspective, either.

There was a lot of talk about a potential purchase of TikTok, but I'm going to save that for a future post. Speaking of which, stay tuned for a post about tonight's Emmy winners tomorrow.

Saturday, September 13, 2025

'Jeopardy!' and Jimmy Kimmel win Game Show categories at the Emmy Awards


I'm getting an early start on the Sunday entertainment feature by covering some of the winners of the Creative Arts Emmy Awards on Sunday. Today, I'm revisiting 'Jeopardy!' favored to win Game Show categories at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.
Outstanding Game Show
  • Celebrity Family Feud (ABC)
  • Jeopardy! (ABC / Syndicated)
  • The Price is Right (CBS)
  • Wheel of Fortune (ABC / Syndicated)
  • Who Wants to Be a Millionaire (ABC)
Strictly speaking, Celebrity Family Feud, Jeopardy!, and Who Wants to Be a Millionaire tie for first with two nominations each. However, as the publicity image from Twitter/X in the upper right corner above shows, Jeopardy! claims a third nomination for Pop Culture Jeopardy! I'll agree and use it as a tiebreaker. Gold Derby's assessment matches my handicapping from total nominations, with all experts, 85.7% of editors, and 91.7% of users expecting the winner to be Jeopardy! It's the two-time defending winner, so that's a reasonable expectation. Celebrity Family Feud has the support of 14.3% of editors and 4.5% of users. Thanks to 1.9% of the users, Who Wants to Be a Millionaire sits in third. The long-shot picks of The Price is Right and Wheel of Fortune are the choices of 0.9% of users each.
Gold Derby called it — Jeopardy! won. Congratulations!
Outstanding Host for a Game Show
  • Elizabeth Banks – Press Your Luck (ABC)
  • Steve Harvey – Celebrity Family Feud (ABC)
  • Ken Jennings – Jeopardy! (ABC / Syndicated)
  • Colin Jost – Pop Culture Jeopardy! (Prime Video)
  • Jimmy Kimmel – Who Wants to Be a Millionaire (ABC)
Despite winning the program category both times since game shows were transferred from the Daytime Emmy Awards to the Primetime Emmy Award, the hosts of Jeopardy! have never won Outstanding Host for a Game Show. The prognosticators at Gold Derby think that jinxed streak will be broken, as every expert and editor along with 77.2% of users predict that Ken Jennings will earn his first Emmy Award. Steve Harvey, the last winner of this category at the Daytime Emmys, sits in second with the support of 11.5% of users. Colin Jost, Elizabeth Banks, and Jimmy Kimmel are the choices of 4.9%, 3.6%, and 2.7% of users, respectively.
Gold Derby's odds changed since August, with 10% of experts and 16.7% of editors moving from Jennings to Kimmel. Along with 2.9% of users, that was enough to move Kimmel to fourth in the odds, although I would have interpreted these numbers as placing him second — I think Gold Derby emphasizes the users too much over the professionals. Another 16.7% of editors shifted from Jennings to Banks, leaving Jennings with the votes of 90% of experts, 66.7% of editors, and 85.0% of users. At least some of the professionals saw Kimmel's win coming, even if the users consolidated around Jennings.

I'll try to explain what happened after I feature two videos of Kimmel accepting his award and greeting the entertainment press, beginning with Jimmy Kimmel, Outstanding Host for a Game Show for Who Wants To Be A Millionaire from the Television Academy.


 Gold Derby shared his post-award remarks in Jimmy Kimmel honors Regis Philbin after winning Emmy for 'Who Wants to Be a Millionaire'.

Jimmy Kimmel honors Regis Philbin after winning at the 2025 Creative Arts Emmys for hosting "Who Wants to Be a Millionaire."
Kimmel mentioning winning his first Emmy for Win Ben Stein's Money was almost a surprise for me — almost, because I checked his Wikipedia entry to see if this was his first Emmy Award. No, it's his fourth. The other two were for the Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Variety Special (Live) in 2019 and 2020 with Norman Lear. After watching his lie-down strike on stage in 2022, I would have thought he didn't have any. At least it may have convinced the Television Academy to move Last Week Tonight out of Outstanding Talk Series.

Speaking of Outstanding Talk Series, what Kimmel did to influence voting there may have helped him here.


Time to revisit Colbert, Lydic, and Meyers take closer looks at the EPA and Epstein and Kimmel goes down the rabbit hole on 'windmills'.
Gold Derby agrees on the most likely winner, but flips the odds of the other two. 83.3% of experts, 33.3% of editors, and 68.6% of users predict The Daily Show will repeat. On the other hand, 66.6% of editors, 16.7% of experts, and 27.6% of users expect The Late Show with Stephen Colbert to upset. I suspect the editors believe CBS canceling The Late Show with Stephen Colbert will drive a sympathy vote. They might just be right. Only 3.8% of users have cast long shot votes for Jimmy Kimmel Live!
Gold Derby thinks Kimmel's campaign may have helped drive the sympathy vote, as every editor, 94.1% of experts, and 94.8% of users are now voting for The Late Show with Stephen Colbert. Just 5.9% of experts and 4.5% of users still think The Daily Show will repeat. Meanwhile, 0.7% of users are still supporting Jimmy Kimmel Live! Give it up. Jimmy's already won his Emmy for the year.

I close with a video I wish I found in 2023, "Weird Al" Yankovic - I Lost On Jeopardy.


 That's a wrap for today. Stay tuned for more entertainment coverage tomorrow.

Previous posts about the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards

Friday, September 12, 2025

'The Pandemic Made People Worse Drivers,' a driving update

As I predicted, Pearl passed 70,000 miles yesterday, so it's time for a driving update. I begin with SciShow reporting The Pandemic Made People Worse Drivers, among other things.

We all picked up new habits during the COVID-19 pandemic. But not all of them stuck. Here's the data on whether we're better or worse drivers, exercisers, social media community members, neighbors, and self carers than during and before lockdown.
I've known that the pandemic increased murders and bad driving for four years, since I wrote Americans speeding during the pandemic is increasing traffic deaths, a driving update.
In the past week of returning to in-person teaching and resuming my pre-pandemic driving patterns, I've observed several people driving just as Krugman described, weaving in and out of traffic at high speeds. While a few Michigan drivers were doing that all along before the pandemic, I think I've seen more this week than the pre-pandemic average. Based on the data and my personal observations, I agree with Krugman that "the pandemic and its disruptions seem to have done a number on social psychology in many dimensions. The worrisome thing is that troubled behavior seems to be persisting even as the country reopens." Here's to hoping that subsides when the pandemic is over, which it isn't.
I also knew about increased social media use, which persisted, and worse mental health, which the stats say has returned to the pre-pandemic normal. What I didn't know about were the Cannonball Run record, increased drinking, childhood obesity, strokes, and drug deaths, along with worse heart health. I can't say I'm surprised at any of them, except the Cannonball Run. I thought that was only a movie. I'm also relieved that driving is improving and the murder rate is decreasing. It give me hope that the rest of the craziness will subside as well.

That's the general driving situation. Follow over the jump for my personal update.

Thursday, September 11, 2025

SciShow explains 'How to Make a Warning Last 10,000 Years'

SciShow has been uploading videos about nuclear waste lately, the most recent of which explains How to Make a Warning Last 10,000 Years.

In the southeast corner of New Mexico, the United States is burying decades of nuclear waste. The storage site, and the earth above it, will remain lethal for millennia...perhaps as much as 300,000 years! How can we warn people that far in the future to "Keep Out!"?
It's time to be a good environmentalist and recycle.
As I point out to my students, the worst aspect of nuclear power isn’t the risk of meltdown, as in Fukushima. Very few plants melt down. All of them, however, produce radioactive waste, which is dangerous for thousands of years. Dealing with that is the big issue.
I reinforce that point with the Seeker video I embedded in Nuclear waste in cat litter, which is where I first heard about WIPP. I'm relieved to see that the Department of Energy is thinking ahead to its closure and how to protect people for millennia to come.

Working backwards, the next most recent SciShow video on this topic is So You Need To Dispose Of Some Nuclear Waste…

We all have to deal with getting rid of trash. But what do we do when that trash is radioactive? Here's a few of the weirdest solutions to the green glowy problem of storing radioactive waste for decades to come.
If this video were shorter, I'd gladly show it to my students. Instead, I'm planning on passing on the highlights the next time I lecture on nuclear power, which will be this December. May I remember it that long.

I close with the earliest of the three videos from the past few months, This Gorgeous Gemstone Traps Nuclear Waste.

This month's Rocks Box is the perfect combo of beauty and brains. Sodalite is a gorgeous blue mineral that has a superpower - its tiny pores can trap all kinds of molecules, making it the perfect sieve for everything from industrial practices to cleaning up pollution. And this month's Rocks Box subscribers get their own!
I had no idea zeolites like sodalite were so useful. Any day I learn something new is a good day, so today is already a good day.

That's a wrap for today's Commoner's Laws lessons about pollution, "Everything must go somewhere (There is no away)" and "There is no free lunch" about the problem and "Nature knows best" for the solutions. Stay tuned for a driving update, since Pearl will actually pass 70,000 miles today.

Wednesday, September 10, 2025

'Severance' already won six Emmy Awards and could win up to five more

I closed Retail Archaeology asks 'What Is Going On At Claire's?' A tale of the Retail Apocalypse by telling my readers "Stay tuned to see if I complete my Emmy nominations coverage tomorrow with the nominees for drama series. Andor, Severance, and The Last of Us!" Watch 77th Emmy Nominations: Drama Series to see these and five more nominees.

The nominees for Outstanding Drama Series are Andor, The Diplomat, The Last Of Us, Paradise, The Pitt, Severance, Slow Horses, The White Lotus.
Severance led not only this category, but all nominees with 27 nominations, six of which it won on Saturday. The White Lotus earned the second most nominations with 23, winning one on Saturday. The Last of Us had 16 nominations, winning one already, followed by Andor with 14, winning four over the weekend. The Pitt earned 13 nominations, winning two. Bringing up the rear were Slow Horses with five, Paradise with four, and The Diplomat with two. None of the last three earned a Creative Arts Emmy Award.

The prognosticators at Gold Derby have split on the likely winner, but agree that it's a two-show race between Severance and The Pitt with 60.0% of the editors, 41.7% of the experts, and 64.0% of the users selecting Severance, while half the experts, 40.0% of the editors, and 32.4% of the users think The Pitt will win. The remaining expert (8.3%) and 1.6% of users picked The Last of Us to place third in the odds. The White Lotus has the support of 1.1% of users, followed by Andor with 0.5%, Slow Horses with 0.4%, and both Paradise and The Diplomat with none.

The science fiction fan in me wants Severance, but my wife and I watched the first three episodes and haven't returned, while we watched every episode of The Pitt. I'm sure we're not alone. Gold Derby summed up the choice in Emmys Face-Off: Do voters follow their heart to The Pitt or their head to Severance?

Emmys Face-Off: Do voters follow their heart to 'The Pitt' or their head to 'Severance'? With final-round voting taking place from Aug. 18 to Aug. 27, four top awards experts are grilled about their latest predictions.
The experts as a whole may prefer The Pitt, but the experts in the video think Severance winning is more likely; it's better crafted. Also, its part of the electorate is less divided and electorates matter.

Gold Derby's next category is 77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actress In A Drama Series.

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series are Kathy Bates, Sharon Horgan, Britt Lower, Bella Ramsey, Keri Russell.
Kathy Bates, the only nomination for Matlock, leads with 83.3% of experts, 80.0% of editors, and 71.6% of users expecting her to win. Britt Lower sits in second with 20.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, and 23.9% of users picking here. Bella Ramsey also has 8.3% of experts voting for her, but only 3.3% of users. Keri Russell has the support of 1.1% of users, while Sharon Horgan, Bads Sisters' sole nominee, only has 0.1%. Lower will only win in a Severance sweep, which the Gold Derby experts doubt will happen.

The final Television Academy video I'm embedding today is 77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actor In A Drama Series.

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series are Sterling K. Brown, Gary Oldman, Pedro Pascal, Adam Scott, Noah Wyle.
Every editor, 92.3% of experts, and 82.0% of users want Noah Wylie, while 7.7% of experts and 15.2% of users selected Adam Scott. Pedro Pascal is a distant third with 2.3% of users, followed by Sterling K. Brown and Gary Oldman tied at 0.3%. I'm picking Wylie.


Carrie Coon currently leads as the choice of 60.0% of editors, 58.3% of experts, and 70.4% of users, but Gold Derby thinks she has competition, as 33.3% of experts, 30.0% of editors, and 13.4% of users chose Katherine LaNasa and 10.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, and 12.8% picked Parker Posey — a three-way race! A sweep by Severance seems unlikely, as only 1.9% of users made an argument for Patricia Arquette. The users give the rest of the nominees less than a 1.0% chance with Aimee Lou Wood at 0.8%, Natasha Rothwell at 0.4%, and Julianne Nicholson, who has already won an Emmy for Hacks, at 0.3%. I enjoyed Parker Posey the most, but Carrie Coon displayed more range.


Gold Derby's odds-makers see a two-way contest for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series, with Tramell Tillman taking 70.0% of editors, 50.0% of experts, and 53.1% of users while Walton Goggins is walking away with 50.0% of experts, 30.0% of editors, and 43.6% of users. That's quite a split! The rest of the field consists of Sam Rockwell with 1.2%, John Turturro and James Marsden tied at 0.7%, Jason Isaacs with 0.6%, and Zach Cherry at 0.1%. My wife and I watched all of The White Lotus, and we found Goggins compelling.


The experts at Gold Derby worried that two nominated episodes for both Severance and The Pitt would split the vote. It's certainly splitting theirs, as 75.0% of experts, 70.0% of editors, and 81.3% of users voted for the "Cold Harbor" episode of Severance while 10.0% of editors and 2.5% of users chose "Chikhai Bardo." Between the two entries, 80.0% of editors, 75.0% of experts, and 83.8% of users are supporing Severance. The Pitt suffers less from vote splitting, with 25.0% of experts, 20.0% of editors, and 12.3% of users picking "6:00 P.M." but only 0.8% of users selecting "7:00 A.M." The White Lotus is fourth among nominees but third among series with 1.4% of users, followed by Andor with 1.1% and Slow Horses with 0.4%.


Severance leads Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series, which Gold Derby thinks is a three-way contest, supported by 90.0% of editors, 66.7% of experts, and 81.9% of users. The Pitt sits in second as the pick of 25.0% of experts and 10.9% of users, while this category may be Andor's best chance at an Emmy, as 10.0% of editors, 8.3% of experts, which might be the same person given the overlap between the two groups, and 2.9% of users anticipate its upsetting the two leaders. The rest of the field all have at least 1% support, with The White Lotus with 1.7%, a second episode of The Pitt at 1.6%, and Slow Horses at 1.0%. Vote splitting doesn't seem to be hurting The Pitt much.

Follow over the jump for Saturday night's drama series winners at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Retail Archaeology asks 'What Is Going On At Claire's?' A tale of the Retail Apocalypse

I promised "another update on Claire's, a tale of the Retail Apocalypse" for today, so watch What Is Going On At Claire's? | Retail Archaeology.

In this episode of Retail Archaeology we take a look at Claire's and discuss their recent bankruptcy.
The big news, which Company Man Mike mentioned briefly, is that a private equity firm bought Claire's and looks to have saved it, for now. I've been following the Retail Apocalypse for seven years, and I don't think I've ever seen a store closing sale canceled before, but that's happened to Claire's. Good news, but not so good I'll post Professor Farnsworth.

That's a wrap for today. Stay tuned to see if I complete my Emmy nominations coverage tomorrow with the nominees for drama series. Andor, Severance, and The Last of Us!

Monday, September 8, 2025

'The Studio' wins 9 Emmy Awards and could win up to 6 more

I closed 'The Penguin' has already won 8 Emmys, but could lose to 'Adolescence' by telling my readers "Stay tuned to see if I continue my Emmys coverage with comedy winners and nominees..." Here goes, beginning with the Television Academy announcing 77th Emmy Nominations: Comedy Series.

The nominees for Outstanding Comedy Series are Abbott Elementary, The Bear, Shrinking, Hacks, Nobody Wants This, The Studio, Only Murders In The Building, What We Do In The Shadows.
The Studio led with 23 total nominations, 16 at Saturday's Creative Arts Emmy Awards ceremony, nine of which it won. Returning winner Hacks followed with 14 total nominations, nine at Saturday's ceremony, winning one of them. Previous winner The Bear was right behind with 13 total nominations. Only Murders in the Building and Shrinking both earned seven total nominations, followed closely by What We Do in the Shadows and Abbott Elementary tied at six total. Nobody Wants This brought up the rear with three.

The Gold Derby odds roughly follow this order, as The Studio leads with every expert, 80.0% of editors, and 89.1% of users picking it to win, while Hacks has the votes of the remaining 20.0% of editors and 7.8% of users. The rest of the field has 1.0% or less with no users supporting Nobody Wants This. I guess nobody does. On the other hand, it looks like Gold Derby expects the Emmy electorate to vote for one of the two nominees about the entertainment business. I agree. Electorates matter.

Gold Derby's next category as 77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actress In A Comedy Series. Ladies first!

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series are Uzo Aduba, Kristen Bell, Quinta Brunson, Ayo Edebiri, Jean Smart.
Every editor, 92.3% of experts, and 95.1% of users at Gold Derby expect Jean Smart to repeat. One expert (7.7%) and 1.8% of users think Kristen Bell will upset Smart. Only 1.7% anticipate Ayo Edebiri winning, followed by 1.1% behind Quinta Brunson and 0.3% under Uzo Aduba. I became a fan of Bell's when she starred in The Good Place, but I think this is Smart's to lose.

Now for 77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actor In A Comedy Series.

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series are Adam Brody, Seth Rogen, Jason Segel, Martin Short, Jeremy Allen White.
Every editor and expert plus 88.6% of users expect Seth Rogen to snag his first Emmy. Martin Short has the support of 7.3% of users, followed by two-time returning winner Jeremy Allen White with 3.7%, Adam Brody with 0.3%, and Jason Segal with 0.2%.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
  • Liza Colón-Zayas – The Bear as Tina Marrero (FX)
  • Hannah Einbinder – Hacks as Ava Daniels (HBO Max)
  • Kathryn Hahn – The Studio as Maya Mason (Apple TV+)
  • Janelle James – Abbott Elementary as Ava Coleman (ABC)
  • Catherine O'Hara – The Studio as Patty Leigh (Apple TV+)
  • Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary as Barbara Howard (ABC)
  • Jessica Williams – Shrinking as Gaby Evans (Apple TV+)
The prognosticators at Gold Derby think there is a three-way race for this contest. Since the users primarily set the odds, Hannah Einbinder leads with 58.3% of experts, 33.3% of editors, and 68.9% of users. I'm not convinced. Catherine O'Hara sits in second with 33.3% of experts, 60.0% of editors, and 20.5% of users. In cases like this, I tend to go with the editors. Returning winner Liza Colon-Zayas has an expert (8.3%) and 3.4% of users expecting her to return to the podium. Janelle James is close behind with 3.3% of users, followed by Kathryn Hahn at 2.8%, Jessica Williams at 0.7%, and Sheryl Lee Ralph at 0.3%.

Now to re-examine a category I covered in last month's 'Saturday Night Live' earned seven Emmy nominations for its 50th season.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Ike Barinholtz – The Studio as Sal Saperstein (Apple TV+)
  • Colman Domingo – The Four Seasons as Danny (Netflix)
  • Harrison Ford – Shrinking as Dr. Paul Rhoades (Apple TV+)
  • Jeff Hiller – Somebody Somewhere as Joel (HBO)
  • Ebon Moss-Bachrach – The Bear as Richard "Richie" Jerimovich (FX)
  • Michael Urie – Shrinking as Brian (Apple TV+)
  • Bowen Yang – Saturday Night Live as various characters (NBC)
Bowen Yang is the only acting nominee from SNL, but he's merely in the middle of the pack according to the odds-makers at Gold Derby. Ike Barinholtz from The Studio leads with 38.5% of the experts and 57.6% of the users, but no editors. I'm not convinced. I'm more confident in the second place nominee, Harrison Ford from Shrinking, who is the choice of 53.8% of experts, all editors, and 32.9% of users. The rest of the experts, 7.7%, and 3.1% of users think defending winner Ebon Moss-Bachrach from The Bear will repeat, which would be my default position in the absence of the odds. Yang is in fourth with 2.7% of users, followed by Colman Domingo from The Four Seasons at 1.7%, Jeff Hiller from Somebody Somewhere at 1.4%, and Michael Urie, the other nominee from Shrinking, in last at 0.6%. I will re-examine these odds when I look at the comedy series nominees next month. I expect the order of the top three to change by then.
I was wrong; the top three have remained the same as Ike Barinholtz still leads with 41.7% of the experts and 57.8% of the users, but no editors. Harrison Ford is the choice of 58.3% of experts, all editors, and 37.2% of users. The experts have abandoned defending winner Ebon Moss-Bachrach, although 2.1% of users still support him. The rest of the rankings haven't changed, either. I think the users are wrong in expecting what passes for a sweep by The Studio and Ford will give Shrinking its only Emmy.


On the other hand, a near-sweep for The Studio should catch this award in its broom, as every editor and expert plus 95.8% of users have selected The Studio to win Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series. The rest of the nominees are not even close with The Bear a distant second at 2.4% of users, Hacks at 1.3%, The Rehearsal at 0.6%, and Mid-Century Modern with none.

On the other hand, Hacks is about comedy writing as much as performance, so it should be no surprise that most prognosticators at Gold Derby think it will successfully defend Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series, as 66.7% of experts, 60.0% of editors, and 75.4% of users predict it will repeat. The Studio is close behind with 40.0% of editors, 25.0% of experts, and 19.5% of users thinking it will contribute to a near-sweep. One of the experts (8.3%) and 2.6% of users are picking The Rehearsal to upset. The rest of the field consists of Abbott Elementary, What We Do in the Shadows, and Somebody Somewhere with 1.2%, 0.8%, and 0.5% user support.

Follow over the jump for Saturday night's comedy series winners at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.

Sunday, September 7, 2025

'The Penguin' has already won 8 Emmys, but could lose to 'Adolescence'

I decided to get a jump on the Primetime Emmy Awards for today's Sunday entertainment feature by examining the nominees for limited series as well as the winners for limited series at last night's half of the Creative Arts Emmy Awards. I begin with the Television Academy announcing 77th Emmy Nominations: Limited or Anthology Series.

The nominees for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series are Adolescence, Black Mirror, Dying For Sex, Monsters The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story, The Penguin.
The Penguin led nominations with 24, 17 at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards, eight of which it won last night, and seven at next Sunday's ceremony. Adolescence follows with 13, eight at the Creative Arts Emmys, winning two of them. Monsters: The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story had eleven, seven at the Creative Arts Emmy, winning one of them. Black Mirror had ten, seven at the Creative Arts Emmys, and Dying for Sex had nine, three at the Creative Arts Emmys. Neither Black Mirror nor Dying for Sex won any Creative Arts Emmy Awards.

The prognosticators at Gold Derby flip the top two, as Adolescence leads as the choice of every editor and expert along with 93.3% of users. Gold Derby's odds-makers think the Television Academy will give The Penguin the bird instead of the Emmy, as 5.8% are betting on the Batman villain. Dying for Sex and Monsters: The Lyle And Erik Menendez Story have miniscule support at 0.4% each and Black Mirror has only 0.2% of users making long-shot picks. Long-shots occasionally win — one did last night — but not in this case.

Next, 77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actress In A Limited or Anthology Series or Movie.

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie are Cate Blanchett, Meghann Fahy, Rashida Jones, Cristin Milioti, Michelle Williams.
There is less consensus in this category, as Cristin Milioti leads as the choice of 80.0% of editors, 69.2% of experts, and 79.0% of users while 2019 Emmy winner Michelle Williams earned the rest of the professional votes, 20.0% of editors and 30.8% of experts, along with 17.6% of users. We have a contest! Two-time Oscar winner Cate Blanchett has the votes of 2.2% of users, followed by Rashida Jones with 1.1% and Meghann Fahy at 0.2%. Milioti should be pleased to be doing this well against this field!

77th Emmy Nominations: Lead Actor In A Limited or Anthology Series or Movie is the final video from the Television Academy today.

The nominees for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie are Colin Farrell, Stephen Graham, Jake Gyllenhaal, Brian Tyree Henry, Cooper Koch.
There is more consensus at Gold Derby, but they still see this as a contest, with every editor, 71.4% of experts, and 81.1% of users picking Colin Farrell, while 28.6% of experts and 17.2% of users are choosing Stephen Graham. The rest of the nominees are well behind with Cooper Koch having the support of 0.9% of users while Jake Gyllenhaal and Brian Tyree Henry are tied at 0.4%.

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
  • Erin Doherty – Adolescence as Briony Ariston (Netflix)
  • Ruth Negga – Presumed Innocent as Barbara Sabich (Apple TV+)
  • Deirdre O'Connell – The Penguin as Francis Cobb (HBO)
  • ChloĆ« Sevigny – Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story as Kitty Menendez (Netflix)
  • Jenny Slate – Dying for Sex as Nikki Boyer (FX)
  • Christine Tremarco – Adolescence as Manda Miller (Netflix)
Every editor and expert expects Erin Doherty to win along with 84.9% of Gold Derby users. The rest of the nominees are below 10% with Jenny Slate having 9.9% user support, followed by Deirdre O'Connell with 3.8%, Ruth Negga with 0.7% and Christine Tremarco and Chloe Sevigny tied at 0.4%.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
  • Javier Bardem – Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story as JosĆ© Menendez (Netflix)
  • Bill Camp – Presumed Innocent as Raymond Horgan (Apple TV+)
  • Owen Cooper – Adolescence as Jamie Miller (Netflix)
  • Rob Delaney – Dying for Sex as Neighbor Guy (FX)
  • Peter Sarsgaard – Presumed Innocent as Tommy Motto (Apple TV+)
  • Ashley Walters – Adolescence as DI Luke Bascombe (Netflix)
There is even more overwhelming support for Owen Cooper, who is the choice of every editor and expert along with 97.0% of users. Wow! The rest of the field has less than 2% user support with Javier Bardem at 1.8%, Ashley Walters at 0.6%, Bill Camp at 0.4%, Peter Sarsgaard at 0.2.%, and Rob Delaney with 0.0%.

Outstanding Directing for a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
  • Adolescence – Philip Barantini (Netflix)
  • Dying for Sex: "It's Not That Serious" – Shannon Murphy (FX)
  • The Penguin: "Cent'Anni" – Helen Shaver (HBO)
  • The Penguin: "A Great or Little Thing" – Jennifer Getzinger (HBO)
  • Sirens: "Exile" – Nicole Kassell (Netflix)
  • Zero Day – Lesli Linka Glatter (Netflix)
Gold Derby's consensus around this category is almost as strong with every editor and expert along with 94.7% of users anticipating Adolescence as the winner. The users picked both nominated episodes of The Penguin next, with 4.6% supporting Helen Shaver for "Cent'Anni" and 0.6% behind Jennifer Getzinger for "A Great or Little Thing." Nicole Kassell has captured 0.2% of users for Sirens, while there is no user support for either Dying for Sex or Zero Day. On the one hand, look at all the women nominated. On the other, none of them are likely to win. Darn.


Gold Derby's consensus is nearly as consolidated for writing as for directing, with every editor and expert plus 94.2% of users anticipating Adolescence as the awardee. The rest of the nominees have less than 5% each with 4.2% picking The Penguin, 0.6% behind Black Mirror and Dying for Sex, and 0.4% supporting Say Nothing.

Follow over the jump for last night's limited series winners at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards.